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Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fig... Michigan Wolverines Spread
Elo 50.5% (#10) 49.5% (#17) -
Bradley-Terry 48.9% (#14) 51.1% (#24) -
Margin 51.5% (#10) 48.5% (#20) Illinoi... -0.3
Pythagorean 47.7% (#7) 52.3% (#9) -
Efficiency 38.4% (#8) 61.6% (#6) -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.6% (#7) 52.4% (#8) -
Log Adjusted 47.8% (#7) 52.2% (#8) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Illinois Fig... Michigan Wolverines
Games 29 24
PPG 80.9 75.3
FG% 49.9% 47.6%
3PT% 36.7% 38.2%
FT% 68.9% 76.4%
RPG 40.2 37.2
APG 16.4 15.8
SPG 5.7 4.4
BPG 2.7 3.8
TOPG 12.9 11.2

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Illinois Fig... Michigan Wolverines
Adj. Off Eff 108.8 108.7
Adj. Def Eff 91.2 91.3
Adj. Net Eff 17.6 17.4

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Illinois Fighting Illini Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
A. Dosunmu 20.3 6.1 5.3 1.1 0.2 35.0
T. Frazier 10.5 2.7 2.8 1.3 0.1 34.0
K. Cockburn 18.2 9.7 0.2 0.3 1.3 27.3
A. Miller 8.4 2.8 0.8 0.6 0.0 25.2
D. Williams 5.3 5.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 24.8

Michigan Wolverines Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
F. Wagner 12.8 6.5 2.9 1.4 1.0 32.5
M. Smith 9.4 2.8 5.6 0.5 0.0 32.0
I. Livers 13.1 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.8 31.9
E. Brooks 9.5 3.4 3.0 1.2 0.2 31.2
H. Dickinson 13.7 7.2 0.9 0.3 1.3 26.1