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VCU Rams 19-7
@
2021-01-16
Richmond Spiders 14-9

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams Richmond Spiders Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 54.9% (#34) 45.1% (#87) VCU Rams -2.4 72-69
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 58.5% (#31) 41.5% (#96) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 52.1% (#51) 47.9% (#69) VCU Rams -0.5 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 50.3% (#47) 49.7% (#87) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 61.4% (#46) 38.6% (#65) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 61.4% (#48) 38.6% (#67) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 48.7% (#45) 51.3% (#70) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat VCU Rams Richmond Spiders
Games 19 22
PPG 72.7 74.8
FG% 46.2% 47.1%
3PT% 32.2% 36.1%
FT% 75.4% 73.6%
RPG 33.7 30.4
APG 13.9 14.0
SPG 9.5 9.0
BPG 5.4 2.2
TOPG 14.6 10.6

Efficiency Ratings

Metric VCU Rams Richmond Spiders
Adj. Off Eff 108.3 106.4
Adj. Def Eff 91.7 93.6
Adj. Net Eff 16.7 12.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

VCU Rams Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Bones Hyland 19.7 4.7 2.1 1.7 0.2 32.0
Ace Baldwin Jr. 6.6 3.3 4.5 2.2 0.0 30.1
Vince Williams Jr. 10.6 5.1 2.2 1.0 0.2 28.7
Hason Ward 6.4 5.1 1.0 0.6 2.3 21.8
C. Douglas Jr. 4.4 3.3 0.6 0.6 1.3 19.1

Richmond Spiders Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jacob Gilyard 12.3 3.0 5.0 3.6 0.0 37.5
B. Francis 16.3 2.3 2.1 1.4 0.0 33.3
Tyler Burton 12.0 7.6 0.5 1.1 0.6 30.9
N. Cayo 12.6 4.5 1.3 0.8 0.3 30.9
Grant Golden 12.6 6.3 3.4 0.6 0.5 27.3