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Davidson Wildcats 13-9
@
2021-01-15
Saint Louis Billikens 14-7

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats Saint Louis ... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 35.8% (#85) 64.2% (#84) Saint L... -3.0 69-72
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 37.5% (#136) 62.5% (#93) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 31.1% (#71) 68.9% (#52) Saint L... -4.4 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 43.6% (#56) 56.4% (#23) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.7% (#67) 67.3% (#48) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.7% (#66) 67.3% (#47) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 38.0% (#71) 62.0% (#48) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Davidson Wildcats Saint Louis ...
Games 22 21
PPG 71.8 75.0
FG% 47.2% 46.2%
3PT% 36.4% 34.8%
FT% 68.7% 70.4%
RPG 34.5 38.6
APG 15.1 17.6
SPG 5.1 7.4
BPG 2.6 3.3
TOPG 10.7 12.1

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Davidson Wildcats Saint Louis ...
Adj. Off Eff 106.3 108.3
Adj. Def Eff 93.7 91.7
Adj. Net Eff 12.7 16.6

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Davidson Wildcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Kellan Grady 17.1 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.2 34.4
Hyunjung Lee 13.5 4.0 2.5 0.5 0.4 29.9
Luka Brajkovic 10.9 6.0 1.8 0.3 0.9 26.8
Carter Collins 10.9 3.8 2.7 0.7 0.2 25.9
Sam Mennenga 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 23.2

Saint Louis Billikens Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jordan Goodwin 14.5 10.1 3.9 2.0 0.2 33.1
Javonte Perkins 17.1 3.9 1.8 0.7 0.5 30.5
Yuri Collins 5.1 2.8 6.1 1.2 0.1 28.2
Hasahn French 9.2 7.4 2.4 0.7 1.4 25.0
Gibson Jimerson 7.8 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 21.6