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Davidson Wildcats 13-9
@
2021-01-02
VCU Rams 19-7

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats VCU Rams Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 21.0% (#85) 79.0% (#34) VCU Rams -8.2 66-75
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 24.5% (#136) 75.5% (#31) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 31.0% (#71) 69.0% (#51) VCU Rams -4.4 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 46.1% (#56) 53.9% (#47) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.5% (#67) 67.5% (#46) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.5% (#66) 67.5% (#48) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 37.6% (#71) 62.4% (#45) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Davidson Wildcats VCU Rams
Games 22 20
PPG 71.8 72.5
FG% 47.2% 45.7%
3PT% 36.4% 31.5%
FT% 68.7% 75.2%
RPG 34.5 34.2
APG 15.1 13.7
SPG 5.1 9.3
BPG 2.6 5.2
TOPG 10.7 14.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Davidson Wildcats VCU Rams
Adj. Off Eff 106.3 108.3
Adj. Def Eff 93.7 91.7
Adj. Net Eff 12.7 16.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Davidson Wildcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Kellan Grady 17.1 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.2 34.4
Hyunjung Lee 13.5 4.0 2.5 0.5 0.4 29.9
Luka Brajkovic 10.9 6.0 1.8 0.3 0.9 26.8
Carter Collins 10.9 3.8 2.7 0.7 0.2 25.9
Sam Mennenga 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 23.2

VCU Rams Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Bones Hyland 19.7 4.7 2.1 1.7 0.2 32.0
Ace Baldwin Jr. 6.6 3.3 4.5 2.2 0.0 30.1
Vince Williams Jr. 10.6 5.1 2.2 1.0 0.2 28.7
Hason Ward 6.4 5.1 1.0 0.6 2.3 21.8
Corey Douglas Jr. 4.4 3.3 0.6 0.6 1.3 19.1