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Xavier Musketeers 13-8
@
2020-12-18
DePaul Blue Demons 5-14

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers DePaul Blue Demons Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 62.9% (#49) 37.1% (#137) Xavier ... -4.8 73-68
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 72.0% (#76) 28.0% (#251) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 75.4% (#57) 24.6% (#129) Xavier ... -6.2 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 69.0% (#83) 31.0% (#279) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 84.7% (#55) 15.3% (#148) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 84.9% (#55) 15.1% (#147) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 61.2% (#60) 38.8% (#148) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Xavier Musketeers DePaul Blue Demons
Games 21 19
PPG 74.8 65.8
FG% 45.8% 41.7%
3PT% 32.5% 31.5%
FT% 69.4% 67.8%
RPG 37.7 37.7
APG 17.6 11.4
SPG 6.9 6.8
BPG 4.0 3.9
TOPG 11.2 15.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Xavier Musketeers DePaul Blue Demons
Adj. Off Eff 107.2 100.6
Adj. Def Eff 92.8 99.4
Adj. Net Eff 14.3 1.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Xavier Musketeers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Paul Scruggs 14.0 4.0 5.7 1.6 0.5 32.7
Nate Johnson 11.4 4.2 1.7 1.2 0.1 31.5
Zach Freemantle 16.1 8.9 1.4 0.7 0.9 31.5
Colby Jones 7.7 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.3 27.8
Jason Carter 5.5 6.0 1.5 0.7 0.7 26.6

DePaul Blue Demons Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Charlie Moore 14.4 3.6 4.2 1.1 0.0 32.3
Javon Freeman-Liberty 14.4 5.3 2.6 1.5 0.1 31.9
Romeo Weems 7.3 5.0 0.9 1.3 0.6 28.6
Ray Salnave 6.3 3.0 1.3 0.9 0.1 23.4
Pauly Paulicap 7.2 6.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 22.2