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La Salle Explorers 15-15
@
2020-03-12
Davidson Wildcats 16-14

Model Predictions

Model La Salle Explorers Davidson Wildcats Spread Projected
Elo
2019-20 season-end ratings
 17.6% (#169) 82.4% (#78) Davidso... -9.5 67-77
Bradley-Terry
2019-20 season-end ratings
 39.2% (#152) 60.8% (#124) - -
Margin
2019-20 season-end ratings
 11.2% (#177) 88.8% (#71) Davidso... -11.4 -
Pythagorean
2019-20 season-end ratings
 34.4% (#222) 65.6% (#73) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2019-20 season-end ratings
 10.4% (#171) 89.6% (#73) - -
Log Adjusted
2019-20 season-end ratings
 10.1% (#171) 89.9% (#72) - -
Points Off/Def
2019-20 season-end ratings
 26.9% (#181) 73.1% (#70) - -

2019-20 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.8-point home edge (2018-19 margin fit); projected score: 2018-19's average total of 144 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat La Salle Explorers Davidson Wildcats
Games 24 19
PPG 69.6 74.9
FG% 42.7% 46.4%
3PT% 34.4% 38.1%
FT% 68.1% 74.2%
RPG 34.1 33.1
APG 12.8 14.9
SPG 7.9 6.2
BPG 3.1 2.5
TOPG 14.5 10.1

Efficiency Ratings

Metric La Salle Explorers Davidson Wildcats
Adj. Off Eff 100.0 106.2
Adj. Def Eff 100.0 93.8
Adj. Net Eff 0.0 12.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

La Salle Explorers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Scott Spencer 9.1 3.3 1.1 1.0 0.3 27.3
Saul Phiri 7.0 3.5 1.9 1.3 0.5 26.4
David Beatty 10.7 2.5 1.6 1.2 0.1 26.0
Christian Ray 4.3 5.1 1.4 0.9 0.3 22.3
Isiah Deas 10.1 2.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 21.9

Davidson Wildcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Kellan Grady 17.2 4.2 2.5 1.2 0.2 35.8
J. Gudmundsson 14.5 7.1 4.3 1.2 0.1 35.5
Carter Collins 10.0 3.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 30.2
Luke Frampton 9.8 3.0 1.4 0.8 0.2 26.8
Luka Brajkovic 10.3 5.0 1.6 0.1 0.9 24.5