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2025-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 65.7% 34.3% -
Bradley-Terry 55.4% 44.6% -
Margin 58.7% 41.3% -1.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.0% 30.0% -
Log Adjusted 69.9% 30.1% -
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -11 (66-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dent * 36 4-11 0-2 6-7 3 6 0 2 4 14 10 -1.9
P. Murauskas * 36 6-14 2-7 5-5 7 1 1 2 4 19 12 -1.3
A. McKeever * 32 7-10 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 2 2 14 14 +4.8
M. Lewis * 27 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 5 0 -6.3
R. Hawke * 21 4-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 7 +3.2
D. Shaw 21 3-4 2-2 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 9 10 -7.7
L. Campbell 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 5 8 -3.6
H. Wessels 8 0-1 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 0 1 5 -9.3
M. Juzenas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Duckett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hansberry * 37 6-15 0-6 6-8 10 3 2 1 0 18 19 +3.1
B. Hammond * 36 4-11 1-3 0-0 2 6 3 0 0 9 9 +5.0
N. Avdalas * 34 3-10 1-5 6-7 4 1 0 0 5 13 3 +2.6
J. Bedford * 25 0-10 0-4 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 2 -4 +1.3
T. Johnson * 24 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 5 3 -0.3
J. Schutt 24 5-10 4-8 3-3 0 1 2 0 0 17 10 +6.1
C. Gurdak 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Dorn 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +7.6
I. Pasha 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter