Model Predictions
| Model | Florida A&M Rattlers | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +24 (78-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida A&M Rattlers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Chatman | 32 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | -8.5 |
| A. Baker Jr. | 29 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | -19.7 |
| J. Sanders | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | -28.3 |
| A. Boldin Jr. | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -21.6 |
| K. Washington | 23 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| L. Taylor Jr. | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0.7 |
| T. Shirley | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | -6.7 |
| M. Ndalama | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| A. Knowles | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.1 |
| M. Stute | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| A. Rahman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mizell | 39 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | +20.4 |
| L. Kelly IV | 36 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +23.5 |
| F. Hicks | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +27.4 |
| A. Sigiscar | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | +3.5 |
| K. Douglas | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +14.1 |
| C. Mpaka | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +19.7 |
| D. Johnson | 15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +5.6 |
| D. Porter Jr. | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.5 |
| K. Isaac | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
| C. McDowell | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
* = starter