Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Shelton * | 36 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| T. Dorset * | 36 | 1-10 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Kennedy * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Brogna * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Marrero * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Cisse | 17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Veillette | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Edmead | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| KC Ugwuakazi | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Stinson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mizell * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| F. Hicks * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| C. Mpaka * | 30 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 22 | - |
| K. Isaac * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Kelly IV * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. McDowell | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Douglas | 14 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| A. Sigiscar | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| O. Owens | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Thomas | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter