Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix -9 (88-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas * | 33 | 6-12 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | -6.5 |
| C. Bowser * | 33 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 22 | -13.4 |
| B. VanderWal * | 31 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C. Johnston * | 29 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | -6.2 |
| A. Wilkins * | 24 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -1 | -1.4 |
| C. O'Neal | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -10.8 |
| T. House | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -8.9 |
| E. Bronson | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -10.9 |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Pettus II * | 30 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | +13.3 |
| J. Carr * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +1.3 |
| C. Cuthrell * | 28 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 18 | +5.5 |
| K. Klaczek * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +12.8 |
| I. Harrell * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +4.6 |
| B. Cokley | 24 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +11.6 |
| D. Johnson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +13.1 |
| B. Spell | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +9.0 |
| N. Hull | 9 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter