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Florida State Seminoles 92
@
Virginia Tech Hokies 69
2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 66.0% 34.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% - ✗
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 ✗ (26.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - ✗
Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 40.1% 59.9% - ✗
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% - ✗

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -23 (69-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Jones 32 7-10 1-2 2-2 7 1 0 3 0 17 18 -
M. Somerville 30 9-11 4-6 1-2 4 6 1 0 0 23 23 -
C. Wiggins 30 7-8 3-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 19 15 -
R. McCray V 28 5-12 1-3 6-8 2 4 0 0 3 17 8 -
T. Bassong 27 3-4 1-1 1-3 4 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
A. Steen 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 2 4 -
AJ Swinton 20 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 6 6 -
K. MaGee 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hammond 35 6-7 4-4 0-1 5 2 0 0 1 16 15 -
N. Avdalas 33 3-8 3-5 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 10 5 -
T. Lawal 32 6-8 1-1 3-4 7 0 0 0 2 16 13 -
J. Bedford 28 5-13 1-4 2-2 2 4 1 1 1 13 7 -
A. Hansberry 28 2-10 0-1 6-6 5 1 2 0 4 10 4 -
C. Gurdak 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
J. Schutt 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
I. Pasha 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Dorn 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter