Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +10 (95-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. De Ridder | 45 | 9-20 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 16 | +6.1 |
| D. Hall | 41 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | +0.3 |
| D. Tillis | 39 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +4.4 |
| J. Grünloh | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Mallory | 31 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +3.6 |
| M. Thomas | 29 | 8-20 | 2-9 | 8-11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 9 | +5.9 |
| S. Lewis | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -0.4 |
| U. Onyenso | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -2.1 |
| E. Gertrude | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.3 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hansberry | 51 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 5-10 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -5.0 |
| N. Avdalas | 49 | 5-21 | 3-11 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 4 | -0.6 |
| C. Gurdak | 46 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 24 | - |
| B. Hammond | 42 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 16-18 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 27 | -5.3 |
| J. Schutt | 37 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -2.0 |
| J. Bedford | 29 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -5.8 |
| S. Jones | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| I. Pasha | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
* = starter