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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 17.1% 82.9% +8.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Log Adjusted 18.8% 81.2% -
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +10 (82-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dent 35 3-6 0-0 6-8 2 10 2 3 4 12 19 -0.4
E. Dailey Jr. 35 3-8 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 6 6 -1.0
T. Bilodeau 34 7-13 4-6 6-7 4 0 0 2 0 24 17 +5.3
S. Clark 34 3-6 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 8 7 -0.2
X. Booker 26 6-12 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 12 7 -15.6
T. Perry 13 0-2 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -10.3
J. Brown 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -14.3
S. Jamerson II 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 +0.6
B. Williams 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 1 +5.3

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Ike 36 9-16 1-2 6-9 5 5 0 0 0 25 19 +6.8
M. Saint-Supéry 28 4-6 1-2 3-3 4 1 1 0 1 12 11 -
B. Huff 24 7-12 1-2 6-8 4 0 0 0 1 21 12 +3.4
A. Miller 23 3-3 2-2 1-2 2 0 2 0 2 9 8 +13.9
J. Warley 21 1-5 0-0 2-6 7 2 1 1 0 4 10 +6.5
E. Innocenti 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 -2.0
T. Grant-Foster 18 3-7 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 3 +8.0
S. Venters 16 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 -4.6
B. Smith 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 5 +11.2

* = starter