Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Nicholls Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nicholls Colonels -17 (62-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Christmas | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | +11.1 |
| L. Patrick | 26 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | +10.2 |
| A. Mohammed | 25 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -4.4 |
| N. Chotikavanic | 24 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | +2.5 |
| J. Colonel | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +5.4 |
| K. Burton | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +4.3 |
| G. Alisas | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +3.7 |
| K. Thompson | 19 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +12.3 |
| M. Scurry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Smith Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Malone | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -7.0 |
| J. Searles | 31 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | -8.9 |
| T. English | 30 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -4.0 |
| J. Dunkley | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | -0.4 |
| C. Winborne | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| G. Sanders | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -5.8 |
| N. Krass | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.4 |
| J. Rice | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -17.6 |
| K. Pazmino | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.1 |
| Z. Hamoda | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -9.8 |
| Z. Cross | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter