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Stephen F. Austin

Also known as: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

90.8
PPG
61.2
Opp
+29.5
Margin
46.4%
FG%
40.5%
3P%
68.4%
FT%
45.5
RPG
19.8
APG
9.0
TO
71.9
Est. poss./game
69.7
Adj PPG
69.1
Adj Opp PPG
#129
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1034 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1065, returning -12, transfers -29, freshmen +10 More โ†’ 1047 (#118) Preseason prior 1034 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1065, returning -12, transfers -29, freshmen +10
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More โ†’ 1050 (#114) HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More โ†’ 1049 (#114) HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -3.5 (#196) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -3.5 (#195) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.578 (#132) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.6 More โ†’ 0.517 (#138) AdjNet -2.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.9 More โ†’ 0.518 (#139) AdjNet -2.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 69.1 More โ†’ 0.542 (#129) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 69.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 69.1 More โ†’ 0.542 (#129) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.533 (#130) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.533 (#130) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 214 | GP 1 More โ†’ 1054 (#122) RD 214 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.544 (#131) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Lyon Scots W 120 - 61
2026-11-06 vs Texas Lutheran Bulldogs W 89 - 32
2026-11-11 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats W 76 - 71
2026-11-14 vs Rice Owls L 78 - 81
2026-11-20 vs Indiana State Sycamores - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Erik Makke Erik Makke G 4 22.5 16.0 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 10.0 10.0 26 2 13.0 26.0 50.0 50.0 83.3 0.65 70.7 67.5
Gediminas Alisas Gediminas Alisas F 4 19.2 11.2 5.5 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 6.2 12.5 21 2 10.5 24.5 68.0 0.0 68.8 -0.86 70.2 68.0
Marcus Scurry Marcus Scurry G 4 16.2 10.2 2.8 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 8.5 6.8 25 2 12.5 33.3 44.1 42.1 60.0 0.02 56.6 55.9
Narit Chotikavanic Narit Chotikavanic G 4 24.0 9.0 4.0 2.5 0.8 0.2 1.0 7.2 8.2 20 2 10.0 16.8 44.8 47.6 0 0.99 62.1 62.1
MJ Russell MJ Russell G 4 21.5 9.0 4.2 1.2 0.2 1.8 1.8 8.5 6.2 27 2 13.5 23.7 38.2 33.3 45.5 -0.22 46.3 45.6
Christian Green Christian Green G 4 23.5 6.2 3.8 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.5 4.8 7.8 29 2 14.5 23.6 57.9 0.0 60.0 -0.71 59.0 57.9
Manu Manciel Manu Manciel G 2 13.0 5.5 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 8.0 1.5 10 1 10.0 34.6 18.8 25.0 100.0 0.01 32.6 28.1
Ashton Simmons Ashton Simmons G 4 15.2 5.5 2.5 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 4.8 6.0 33 2 16.5 47.9 42.1 28.6 100.0 0.3 53.0 47.4
Kobi Pearson Kobi Pearson F 4 13.0 5.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 3.0 6.0 22 2 11.0 39.9 66.7 100.0 60.0 -0.25 73.9 75.0
Amari Reed Amari Reed F 3 9.7 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.3 1.3 0.0 1.3 10.3 23 1 23.0 83.6 75.0 0 81.8 1.64 84.8 75.0
Courterius Scott Courterius Scott G 4 14.0 4.2 1.0 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.5 37 2 18.5 45.2 50.0 42.9 0 0.86 60.7 60.7
Easton Hupp Easton Hupp G 2 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 1.0 9 1 9.0 55.2 42.9 33.3 0 -0.19 57.1 57.1
Edwin Daniel Edwin Daniel F 4 15.5 3.8 6.0 0.8 0.5 2.0 0.8 4.8 7.5 19 2 9.5 22.3 31.6 0 50.0 0.17 34.7 31.6
Kensington Candler Kensington Candler G 2 8.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 3.0 2.5 9 1 9.0 47.4 33.3 33.3 50.0 0.04 50.9 50.0
Bryceson Melvin Bryceson Melvin G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Stephen F. Austin players in EuroLeague 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Stephen F. Austin game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Thomas Walkup 2012-16 EuroLeague Dubai Basketball 6 12.9 2.2 1.5 2.2 10-15 0 pts, 1 reb, 2 ast no games

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-10-15 Thomas Walkup EuroLeague Dubai Basketball @ Armani Olimpia Milan 15 0 1 2 Box
2026-10-13 Thomas Walkup EuroLeague Dubai Basketball @ Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 14 3 3 2 Box
2026-10-08 Thomas Walkup EuroLeague Dubai Basketball vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade 15 0 2 3 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

278 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Alisas21% Alisas32% Simmons33% Scott100% Simmons33% Hupp33% Scott33% Makke26% Makke44% Makke29%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Daniel24% Daniel17% Russell33% Scurry40% Russell38% Makke67% Makke22% Simmons25% Chotikavanic24%
Misses: who misses most here

Erik MakkeMarcus ScurryNarit ChotikavanicGediminas AlisasMJ RussellAshton SimmonsCourterius ScottEdwin DanielEaston Hupp

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 43-77 55.8 86 Gediminas Alisas 21% (18 pts) Christian Green 16% (14 pts) Edwin Daniel 24% (8 misses) Christian Green 18% (6 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 25-54 46.3 50 Gediminas Alisas 32% (16 pts) Christian Green 16% (8 pts) Edwin Daniel 17% (5 misses) MJ Russell 17% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 6-12 50.0 12 Ashton Simmons 33% (4 pts) Courterius Scott 17% (2 pts) MJ Russell 33% (2 misses) Ashton Simmons 17% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 1-1 100.0 2 Courterius Scott 100% (2 pts) - - -
Mid-range right 3-8 37.5 6 Ashton Simmons 33% (2 pts) Erik Makke 33% (2 pts) Marcus Scurry 40% (2 misses) Ashton Simmons 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 3-11 27.3 9 Easton Hupp 33% (3 pts) Marcus Scurry 33% (3 pts) MJ Russell 38% (3 misses) Manu Manciel 25% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 3-6 50.0 9 Courterius Scott 33% (3 pts) Kobi Pearson 33% (3 pts) Erik Makke 67% (2 misses) Ashton Simmons 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 19-46 41.3 57 Erik Makke 26% (15 pts) Marcus Scurry 21% (12 pts) Erik Makke 22% (6 misses) Manu Manciel 22% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 center 9-21 42.9 27 Erik Makke 44% (12 pts) Narit Chotikavanic 33% (9 pts) Ashton Simmons 25% (3 misses) Marcus Scurry 25% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 17-42 40.5 51 Erik Makke 29% (15 pts) Narit Chotikavanic 24% (12 pts) Narit Chotikavanic 24% (6 misses) Erik Makke 20% (5 misses)