Nicholls
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 787 (#292) | Preseason prior 796 (returning production + recruiting): last season 897, returning -34, transfers -44, freshmen -23 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 880 (#297) | HCA +250 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 938 (#295) | HCA +250 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -7.6 (#285) | HCA +7.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -7.4 (#285) | HCA +7.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.278 (#253) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.352 (#277) | AdjNet -8.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.351 (#277) | AdjNet -8.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.388 (#262) | AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 63.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.431 (#241) | AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 63.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.335 (#283) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.343 (#282) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 860 (#294) | RD 216 | GP 1 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.200 (#287) | Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | North American Stallions | W | 110 - 56 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | UAB Blazers | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Tulane Green Wave | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aj Dent, Jr
|
F | 2 | 25.0 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 13.0 | - | - | - | - | 52.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 60.9 | 61.8 |
Arop Arop
|
F | 1 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | - | 85.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 85.7 | 85.7 |
Doyel Cockrill III
|
G | 2 | 19.5 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 8.0 | -7 | 1 | -7.0 | -10.8 | 46.7 | 40.0 | 66.7 | -0.26 | 61.3 | 60.0 |
Sheridan Sharp
|
G | 2 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 5.2 | 58.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.9 | 70.4 | 62.5 |
Jared Taylor
|
F | 2 | 15.5 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 6.5 | -8 | 1 | -8.0 | -15.3 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 25.0 | -0.68 | 57.1 | 60.7 |
Hunter Carter
|
G | 2 | 20.0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 | -7 | 1 | -7.0 | -11.0 | 29.4 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -0.75 | 45.3 | 38.2 |
Cameron Simpson
|
G | 2 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | -9 | 1 | -9.0 | -36.2 | 41.7 | 37.5 | 0.0 | -1.28 | 52.3 | 54.2 |
Cheikh Biteye
|
G | 1 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Jordan Matthews
|
G | 2 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -9 | 1 | -9.0 | -42.6 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 0 | -1.06 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Christian Winborne
|
G | 2 | 17.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1.5 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -8.1 | 28.6 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.1 | 40.3 | 35.7 |
Jah-Mel Bruce
|
G | 2 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 11.1 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 40.3 | 42.9 |
Junior Sileu
|
F | 2 | 15.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -2.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
Mor Mboup
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 64.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
AJ McPeters
|
G | 2 | 12.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 6 | 1 | 6.0 | 38.5 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.25 | 25.4 | 14.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
146 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Aj Dent, JrDoyel Cockrill IIIJared TaylorHunter CarterArop AropJordan MatthewsChristian WinborneCheikh BiteyeAJ McPeters
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 35-49 | 71.4 | 70 | Arop Arop 17% (12 pts) | Aj Dent, Jr 14% (10 pts) | Aj Dent, Jr 14% (2 misses) | Christian Winborne 14% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 9-26 | 34.6 | 18 | Jared Taylor 33% (6 pts) | Doyel Cockrill III 22% (4 pts) | Jared Taylor 24% (4 misses) | Aj Dent, Jr 18% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Hunter Carter 100% (2 pts) | - | Hunter Carter 33% (1 misses) | Jared Taylor 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Jordan Matthews 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Hunter Carter 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 1-7 | 14.3 | 3 | Jared Taylor 100% (3 pts) | - | Cheikh Biteye 33% (2 misses) | AJ McPeters 17% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-5 | 40.0 | 6 | Christian Winborne 50% (3 pts) | Jordan Matthews 50% (3 pts) | Jordan Matthews 67% (2 misses) | Aj Dent, Jr 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 4-18 | 22.2 | 12 | Doyel Cockrill III 50% (6 pts) | Aj Dent, Jr 25% (3 pts) | Christian Winborne 29% (4 misses) | Cameron Simpson 14% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-16 | 31.2 | 15 | Doyel Cockrill III 40% (6 pts) | Hunter Carter 20% (3 pts) | AJ McPeters 27% (3 misses) | Doyel Cockrill III 27% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-19 | 47.4 | 27 | Aj Dent, Jr 22% (6 pts) | Cameron Simpson 22% (6 pts) | Christian Winborne 30% (3 misses) | Hunter Carter 30% (3 misses) |