Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | -4.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -15 (65-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davis | 36 | 10-14 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 20 | +8.2 |
| K. Egbule | 36 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +8.1 |
| J. McBride | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +7.9 |
| E. Ricks III | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +1.0 |
| G. Newhof | 26 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +8.0 |
| P. Fowler | 24 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +6.9 |
| C. Brown | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| B. Douglas | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +0.0 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown | 36 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -7.9 |
| M. Tucker | 35 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | -8.0 |
| J. Hamilton | 33 | 6-20 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | -7.6 |
| J. Chappelle | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -4.0 |
| A. Enoh | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -8.0 |
| C. Beam | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Jones | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| J. Cooper | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.0 |
| A. Berthe | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.0 |
* = starter