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Georgia State

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History
Coach: Jon Cremins

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

83.7
PPG
71.3
Opp
+12.3
Margin
47.4%
FG%
35.2%
3P%
58.9%
FT%
40.0
RPG
14.7
APG
10.7
TO
71.5
Est. poss./game
66.5
Adj PPG
71.0
Adj Opp PPG
#253
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 873 (returning production + recruiting): last season 861, returning -26, transfers +57, freshmen -20 More → 839 (#250) Preseason prior 873 (returning production + recruiting): last season 861, returning -26, transfers +57, freshmen -20
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +229 elo More → 915 (#252) HCA +229 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +229 elo More → 944 (#282) HCA +229 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +0.6 More → -11.3 (#306) HCA +0.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +0.6 More → -11.2 (#306) HCA +0.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.332 (#217) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.5 More → 0.398 (#232) AdjNet -5.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.6 More → 0.396 (#233) AdjNet -5.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.398 (#253) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 71.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.416 (#256) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 71.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.349 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.353 (#272) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 202 | GP 2 More → 899 (#253) RD 202 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.378 (#212) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 73 - 76
2026-11-05 @ Charlotte 49ers L 67 - 77
2026-11-07 vs Andrew Fighting Tigers W 111 - 61
2026-11-10 @ Fresno State Bulldogs - Incomplete score
2026-11-15 vs Norfolk State Spartans - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaden Jackson Jaden Jackson G 3 36.0 17.0 3.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 1.3 15.0 6.7 -5 1 -5.0 -5.2 40.0 37.5 0 -0.03 56.7 56.7
Jacob Meyer Jacob Meyer G 3 35.0 15.3 2.3 6.3 1.0 0.3 2.7 13.0 9.7 0 1 0.0 0.0 41.0 33.3 62.5 0.03 50.0 46.2
Jacolb Fredson-Cole Jacolb Fredson-Cole F 3 29.7 14.3 10.3 1.7 2.0 0.3 1.3 10.0 17.3 0 1 0.0 0.0 60.0 75.0 25.0 -0.84 67.7 70.0
Christopher Jones Christopher Jones G 3 24.0 13.0 5.0 0.7 0.0 1.7 1.0 6.0 13.3 6 1 6.0 10.6 77.8 25.0 58.8 -0.45 76.5 80.6
David Thomas David Thomas G 3 34.7 12.7 4.0 3.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 11.7 7.7 -3 1 -3.0 -3.0 34.3 19.0 76.9 -0.75 46.7 40.0
Owen Augunas Owen Augunas G 1 12.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 - - - - 66.7 66.7 0 - 83.3 83.3
Orion Wilson Orion Wilson F 2 15.0 4.5 4.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 4.5 5.5 -1 1 -1.0 -8.5 44.4 0.0 50.0 -0.14 45.5 44.4
Jonas Sirtautas Jonas Sirtautas F 3 9.7 3.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 2.0 4.0 4 1 4.0 21.5 66.7 0 50.0 0.09 65.4 66.7
Shiyloh Fisher Shiyloh Fisher G 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Mason Nicholson Mason Nicholson F 3 15.3 1.3 3.7 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.3 2.0 4.0 -16 1 -16.0 -35.3 33.3 0 0.0 -1.22 29.1 33.3
Keeper Jackson Keeper Jackson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Eric Parnell Eric Parnell G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
AJ Smith AJ Smith G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Zion Wilburn Zion Wilburn G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Terrance Dixon Jr. Terrance Dixon Jr. F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

196 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Jones24% Meyer62% Fredson-Cole100% Thomas50% Thomas33% Fredson-Cole100% Jackson100% Jackson50% Jackson50% Meyer38%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Meyer50% Meyer20% Thomas67% Meyer40% Thomas50% Jackson67% Jackson50% Meyer33% Jackson42%
Misses: who misses most here

Jaden JacksonJacolb Fredson-ColeJacob MeyerChristopher JonesDavid Thomas

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 45-61 73.8 90 Christopher Jones 24% (22 pts) Jacolb Fredson-Cole 16% (14 pts) Jacob Meyer 50% (8 misses) Jacolb Fredson-Cole 31% (5 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 8-28 28.6 16 Jacob Meyer 62% (10 pts) Christopher Jones 25% (4 pts) Jacob Meyer 20% (4 misses) Jacolb Fredson-Cole 20% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 3-6 50.0 6 Jacolb Fredson-Cole 100% (6 pts) - David Thomas 67% (2 misses) Jacob Meyer 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-2 100.0 4 David Thomas 50% (2 pts) Jacob Meyer 50% (2 pts) - -
Mid-range right 3-8 37.5 6 David Thomas 33% (2 pts) Jacolb Fredson-Cole 33% (2 pts) Jacob Meyer 40% (2 misses) David Thomas 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-7 14.3 3 Jacolb Fredson-Cole 100% (3 pts) - David Thomas 50% (3 misses) Christopher Jones 17% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-7 14.3 3 Jaden Jackson 100% (3 pts) - Jaden Jackson 67% (4 misses) David Thomas 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 16-32 50.0 48 Jaden Jackson 50% (24 pts) David Thomas 25% (12 pts) Jaden Jackson 50% (8 misses) David Thomas 31% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 6-18 33.3 18 Jaden Jackson 50% (9 pts) Jacob Meyer 17% (3 pts) Jacob Meyer 33% (4 misses) Jaden Jackson 33% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 right 8-27 29.6 24 Jacob Meyer 38% (9 pts) Jaden Jackson 38% (9 pts) Jaden Jackson 42% (8 misses) David Thomas 32% (6 misses)