Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC Shaw | 38 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | -21.9 |
| J. Battle | 37 | 5-16 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | -17.8 |
| LJ Thomas | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -21.4 |
| C. Swanton-Rodger | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14.0 |
| R. Davis Jr. | 20 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -11.5 |
| J. Turner | 18 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Z. Wiggins | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +3.6 |
| D. Raymond | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2.2 |
| S. Hubbard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.1 |
| D. McKenna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Drone | 39 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +15.4 |
| R. Fields | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +5.0 |
| K. Davis | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +18.1 |
| D. Hall | 23 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 8-10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 25 | +12.8 |
| F. Emmou | 23 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +4.3 |
| J. Bolden | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -1.1 |
| K. Gumbs | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +11.3 |
| M. Willis | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| T. Sant | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Lee | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter