Old Dominion - 2026-2027

2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)

77.0

PPG

58.4

Opp

+18.6

Margin

46.9%

FG%

36.6%

3P%

69.0%

FT%

39.4

RPG

15.0

APG

12.8

TO

66.3

Est. poss./game

67.7

Adj PPG

59.5

Adj Opp PPG

#126

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 810 (returning production + recruiting): last season 906, returning -22, transfers -48, freshmen -27 More →	886 (#203)	Preseason prior 810 (returning production + recruiting): last season 906, returning -22, transfers -48, freshmen -27
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More →	970 (#177)	HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More →	972 (#176)	HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More →	-0.7 (#165)	HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More →	-0.7 (#165)	HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.653 (#116)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.4 More →	0.544 (#128)	AdjNet +9.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.9 More →	0.551 (#127)	AdjNet +9.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.7 \| AdjD 59.5 More →	0.545 (#126)	AdjO 67.7 \| AdjD 59.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.8 \| AdjD 59.6 More →	0.546 (#125)	AdjO 67.8 \| AdjD 59.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.531 (#132)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.531 (#132)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 182 \| GP 3 More →	980 (#164)	RD 182 \| GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More →	0.394 (#213)	Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2026-11-02	vs	Western Michigan Broncos	W	61 - 49
2026-11-04	vs	Regent Regent Royals	W	91 - 47
2026-11-07	@	Bucknell Bison	W	82 - 62
2026-11-11	@	Norfolk State Spartans	W	71 - 60
2026-11-14	vs	Longwood Lancers	W	80 - 74
2026-11-17	@	Virginia Cavaliers	-	Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Zacch Wiggins	G	5	31.6	15.0	4.4	2.8	1.6	0.8	2.0	10.2	12.4	31	2	15.5	17.6	51.0	22.2	79.2	0.32	60.9	54.9
Adante' Holiman	G	5	25.4	10.8	0.8	2.0	0.8	0.0	1.4	9.4	3.6	7	2	3.5	6.5	38.3	36.4	85.7	-0.96	53.9	51.1
Bubu Benjamin	G	5	22.4	10.0	2.2	1.8	1.4	0.4	1.6	8.2	6.0	22	2	11.0	18.3	41.5	36.4	88.9	1.21	55.6	51.2
Jared Turner	F	5	22.4	8.2	6.4	0.4	0.6	0.0	0.6	4.4	10.6	46	2	23.0	33.4	63.6	61.9	0	1.57	93.2	93.2
Kylan Howze	F	5	17.0	7.0	5.0	1.2	0.4	0.8	0.8	3.2	10.4	3	2	1.5	3.7	81.2	0	81.8	-0.58	84.0	81.2
Khoi Thurmon	G	5	17.2	5.6	1.6	4.0	1.2	0.2	1.2	5.0	6.4	31	2	15.5	26.8	44.0	50.0	50.0	1.17	49.1	48.0
Lucio Martini	F	1	10.0	5.0	5.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.0	6.0	-	-	-	-	50.0	0	100.0	-	56.3	50.0
Scottie Hubbard	G	5	10.2	4.8	2.0	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.4	3.4	3.6	9	2	4.5	17.3	41.2	50.0	80.0	0.89	62.5	58.8
Jotham Nweke	F	5	16.6	4.2	3.6	0.2	0.6	1.4	1.0	2.8	6.2	15	2	7.5	17.1	64.3	20.0	28.6	-0.21	61.5	67.9
Rieco Hellams	G	1	8.0	4.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	3.0	3.0	-	-	-	-	33.3	0.0	100.0	-	51.5	33.3
Zamoku Weluche-Ume	F	5	17.2	3.8	5.2	0.8	0.8	0.4	1.8	4.2	5.0	-5	2	-2.5	-6.0	42.9	0.0	16.7	-1.3	40.2	42.9
CJ Lyons	G	3	7.7	3.7	0.7	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.7	3.7	1.7	9	1	9.0	132.5	36.4	33.3	50.0	0.29	46.3	45.5
Ben Nacey	F	3	6.0	3.3	3.0	0.3	0.7	0.0	0.0	2.7	4.7	-6	1	-6.0	-55.4	50.0	0	66.7	-1.13	53.6	50.0
Cj Harper	G	5	5.2	1.6	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	1.8	0.0	-2	2	-1.0	-9.5	33.3	50.0	50.0	-0.39	40.5	38.9
CJ Parker	G	1	8.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	3.0	-3.0	-	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0	-	0.0	0.0
Noah Eddy	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Theo Gerges	G	1	6.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	1.0	2.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0	-	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

294 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Zacch WigginsAdante' HolimanBubu BenjaminJared TurnerKylan HowzeKhoi ThurmonScottie Hubbard

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	54-72	75.0	108	Kylan Howze 17% (18 pts)	Zacch Wiggins 15% (16 pts)	Zacch Wiggins 17% (3 misses)	Zamoku Weluche-Ume 17% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	31-74	41.9	62	Zacch Wiggins 45% (28 pts)	Khoi Thurmon 13% (8 pts)	Khoi Thurmon 19% (8 misses)	Zacch Wiggins 16% (7 misses)
Mid-range left	0-4	0.0	0	-	-	Bubu Benjamin 50% (2 misses)	Adante' Holiman 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range center	0-3	0.0	0	-	-	Khoi Thurmon 67% (2 misses)	Adante' Holiman 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right	4-7	57.1	8	Kylan Howze 50% (4 pts)	Adante' Holiman 25% (2 pts)	Adante' Holiman 33% (1 misses)	Bubu Benjamin 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3	3-10	30.0	9	Bubu Benjamin 33% (3 pts)	Scottie Hubbard 33% (3 pts)	Bubu Benjamin 29% (2 misses)	Scottie Hubbard 29% (2 misses)
Right corner 3	2-7	28.6	6	Adante' Holiman 50% (3 pts)	Cj Harper 50% (3 pts)	Adante' Holiman 40% (2 misses)	Bubu Benjamin 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left	18-42	42.9	54	Scottie Hubbard 28% (15 pts)	Adante' Holiman 22% (12 pts)	Adante' Holiman 21% (5 misses)	Bubu Benjamin 12% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center	9-20	45.0	27	Jared Turner 67% (18 pts)	Adante' Holiman 11% (3 pts)	Adante' Holiman 55% (6 misses)	Bubu Benjamin 18% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right	17-55	30.9	51	Adante' Holiman 35% (18 pts)	Jared Turner 24% (12 pts)	Zacch Wiggins 24% (9 misses)	Adante' Holiman 21% (8 misses)