Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McBride | 35 | 11-15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | -11.3 |
| E. Ricks III | 32 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +0.7 |
| B. Douglas | 31 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | -10.8 |
| C. Davis | 25 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | -15.0 |
| P. Fowler | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -6.5 |
| P. Jones III | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| G. Newhof | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
| C. Brown | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| E. Wilborn | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9.1 |
| P. Lewis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Battle | 37 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | +4.2 |
| KC Shaw | 36 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 8-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | +15.0 |
| R. Davis Jr. | 34 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +11.3 |
| J. Turner | 33 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +17.0 |
| C. Swanton-Rodger | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +9.2 |
| B. Nacey | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| D. Raymond | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.0 |
| Z. Wiggins | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -7.0 |
| D. McKenna | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.0 |
| R. Hellams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 |
| S. Hubbard | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.0 |
* = starter