Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -1.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lowery | 36 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Seamster | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| C. Chavis | 29 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| C. Jackson | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Laster | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| M. McCreary | 20 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Reed | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Mason | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Rigsby Jr. | 9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Goodman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hicks | 34 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Mizell | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Johnson | 30 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 12 | - |
| L. Kelly IV | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Mpaka | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| O. Owens | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Isaac | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Douglas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| D. Dormu | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter