Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Delaware Blue Hens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware Blue Hens -18 (43-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams Jr. | 33 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -3.8 |
| Z. King | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -3.8 |
| K. Palek III | 30 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +1.2 |
| K. Williams | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -3.7 |
| A. Burnett | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| M. Osei-Bonsu | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -2.9 |
| D. Sutton | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -4.9 |
| C. Boone | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Epes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Cunningham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Delaware Blue Hens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fernandez | 36 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -2 | +3.8 |
| M. Emory | 36 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +3.7 |
| C. Bliss | 35 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Houser | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +3.8 |
| A. Kazanecki | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +3.8 |
| J. Taylor | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -0.0 |
| N. Njoku | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +5.8 |
| B. Kebe | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
* = starter