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2025-05-07

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 86.1% 13.9% -
Bradley-Terry 69.7% 30.3% -
Margin 79.8% 20.2% -7.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 68.3% 31.7% -
Efficiency 86.7% 13.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.7% 15.3% -
Log Adjusted 84.8% 15.2% -
Points Off/Def 65.3% 34.7% -

Actual: Washington Mystics -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Howard 23 5-11 4-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 14 5 -
S. Walker-Kimbrough 20 1-5 1-3 3-3 1 3 4 0 1 6 8 -
A. Gray 20 3-9 0-3 1-2 4 3 2 1 0 7 8 -
T. Paopao 20 3-9 1-7 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 7 3 -
B. Griner 19 7-11 2-2 0-0 10 3 0 1 3 16 16 -
N. Coffey 18 4-7 3-4 3-3 7 0 1 1 0 14 16 -
N. Hillmon 15 0-5 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 -
B. Jones 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
T. Thierry 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 1 0 3 4 -
M. Caldwell 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
A. Joens 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
H. Jones 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Gakdeng 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Jefferson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Canada 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Melbourne 22 1-3 0-0 4-4 2 1 2 0 4 6 4 -
S. Sutton 22 2-7 0-2 0-2 4 3 1 0 4 4 1 -
L. Olsen 22 1-8 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 -4 -
K. Iriafen 20 5-8 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 12 11 -
E. Engstler 18 3-6 1-3 2-2 4 2 1 1 1 9 10 -
B. Sykes 18 5-10 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 13 7 -
S. Citron 18 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 4 5 0 -
Z. Green 18 2-6 0-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Prechtel 17 3-6 0-3 1-1 7 0 0 1 0 7 9 -
S. Dolson 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 2 5 -
K. Cave 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 4 3 -

* = starter