Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix -6 (47-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Johnston | 37 | 6-15 | 2-2 | 10-11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | +2.4 |
| A. Staton | 27 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | +2.4 |
| A. Diakite | 27 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| K. Morris | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | +0.0 |
| S. Turner | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +7.0 |
| A. Jenkins | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| J. Wakefield | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5.8 |
| K. Leye | 14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5.1 |
| D. Bristol | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +1.4 |
| S. Baynes | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Preston | 35 | 5-21 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | -1.3 |
| I. Adams | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | +4.0 |
| M. Pass | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -0.2 |
| J. Angel | 24 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -3.5 |
| K. Doty | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1 | -2.2 |
| A. Leroux | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -2.0 |
| L. Anderson | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +3.3 |
| H. Dereje | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| R. Walton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| A. Ervin | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter