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Elon Phoenix

Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History

2026 Team Stats (28 games)

64.7
PPG
64.2
Opp
+0.5
Margin
40.0%
FG%
27.8%
3P%
73.4%
FT%
36.7
RPG
13.1
APG
17.6
TO
84.1
Pace
60.4
AdjO
66.1
AdjD
#228
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 983 (#197) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 907 (#242) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1013 (#167) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -6.0 (#233) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +10.4 (#194) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.486 (#176) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.2 More → 0.506 (#172) NetEff +0.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.1 More → 0.261 (#239) AdjNet -9.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More → 0.255 (#239) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.373 (#228) AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 66.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.561 (#160) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 62.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.692 (#203) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.667 (#202) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 28 More → 1031 (#195) RD 128 | GP 28

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 37 - 71
2025-11-24 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 57 - 93
2025-11-27 @ Tulane Green Wave L 61 - 64
2025-11-28 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 65 - 57
2025-12-07 @ East Carolina Pirates L 53 - 64
2025-12-14 vs Longwood Lancers L 66 - 67
2025-12-17 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 50 - 54
2025-12-30 vs NC Wesleyan Battling Bishops W 111 - 50
2026-01-02 vs Monmouth Hawks L 62 - 77
2026-01-04 vs Hampton Lady Pirates W 84 - 75
2026-01-09 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 52 - 62
2026-01-16 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 72 - 62
2026-01-18 @ Charleston Cougars L 64 - 87
2026-01-23 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 67 - 60
2026-01-25 @ Hampton Lady Pirates W 79 - 53
2026-01-30 vs Charleston Cougars L 69 - 77
2026-02-01 vs Towson Tigers W 68 - 54
2026-02-06 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 61 - 67
2026-02-08 vs William & Mary Tribe W 75 - 52
2026-02-13 @ Drexel Dragons L 59 - 68
2026-02-20 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 68 - 54
2026-02-22 vs Northeastern Huskies W 70 - 57
2026-02-27 @ Hofstra Pride W 58 - 56
2026-03-01 @ Stony Brook Seawolves L 58 - 62
2026-03-05 @ William & Mary Tribe L 59 - 70
2026-03-07 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 66 - 54
2026-03-12 vs Hampton Lady Pirates W 67 - 62
2026-03-13 @ Drexel Dragons L 53 - 68

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Corbett L. Corbett F 28 18.7 11.3 3.6 0.5 1.3 0.6 2.3 9.6 5.4 31 1.3 2.6 46.8 14.3 67.4 -1.03 51.0 47.0
A. Fox A. Fox G 26 23.1 9.2 1.9 2.2 1.0 0.2 3.0 8.5 3.1 -48 -2.1 -4.1 36.2 32.0 84.2 -3.48 48.8 43.4
L. Anderson L. Anderson G 25 22.4 8.8 2.3 1.6 1.1 0.2 1.6 7.9 4.5 44 2.0 3.5 38.6 29.6 72.6 2.01 49.3 44.7
Q. Fulmore Q. Fulmore F 27 20.3 8.2 4.9 0.6 0.6 0.4 1.8 5.7 7.1 -32 -1.3 -2.4 55.8 0 72.5 -2.01 60.2 55.8
T. Watkins T. Watkins C 28 20.0 7.9 5.7 0.9 0.8 0.6 1.4 6.7 7.8 48 2.1 4.5 48.7 12.5 69.6 0.71 52.4 48.9
A. Shaw A. Shaw G 25 17.3 6.0 3.0 0.8 1.1 0.2 1.0 5.3 4.8 49 2.6 9.8 33.1 28.6 86.8 0.53 48.0 39.1
T. Walker T. Walker G 28 21.7 5.5 3.7 1.5 1.2 0.1 1.8 6.6 3.7 54 2.3 4.0 32.1 27.6 83.3 2.21 40.9 39.4
K. Doty K. Doty G 25 16.0 4.0 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.6 4.0 2.1 60 3.2 8.3 32.0 32.3 75.0 5.31 46.0 42.5
M. Pass M. Pass G 28 22.5 3.0 2.9 3.4 1.4 0.0 1.9 3.2 5.5 7 0.3 0.5 33.0 13.3 59.4 -0.54 39.5 35.2
R. Willard R. Willard G 27 18.0 2.1 2.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.3 2.2 2.7 23 1.0 2.6 39.0 35.0 37.5 0.4 44.8 44.9
J. Angel J. Angel G 1 12.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 -4 -2.0 -2.4 20.0 0.0 0 0.82 20.0 20.0
S. Khalil S. Khalil G 21 7.3 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.5 -5 -0.3 -1.7 29.3 21.2 100.0 -1.57 42.4 37.8
K. Morrow K. Morrow G 17 5.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.6 -14 -0.9 -5.4 18.8 0.0 0 -0.96 18.8 18.8
A. Wadkovsky A. Wadkovsky C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG