Elon
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
71.0
PPG
63.7
Opp
+7.3
Margin
43.2%
FG%
27.1%
3P%
70.2%
FT%
36.3
RPG
14.7
APG
19.3
TO
77.7
Est. poss./game
60.7
Adj PPG
62.4
Adj Opp PPG
#181
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 923 (#215) | Preseason prior 966 (returning production + recruiting): last season 985, returning +39, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 946 (#219) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 946 (#219) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.6 (#174) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.7 (#175) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.352 (#184) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.424 (#189) | AdjNet -4.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.434 (#185) | AdjNet -3.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.456 (#181) | AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.455 (#182) | AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 62.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.427 (#188) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.427 (#188) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 925 (#224) | RD 193 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.400 (#195) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | UNC Pembroke Braves | W | 84 - 50 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Howard Bison | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | Liberty Flames | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LaNae' Corbett
|
F | 3 | 27.3 | 21.3 | 7.0 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 16.0 | 13.7 | 24 | 3 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 52.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 2.99 | 55.9 | 52.1 |
Tamia Watkins
|
C | 3 | 30.0 | 13.7 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 11.3 | 5.7 | -7 | 3 | -2.3 | -3.2 | 52.9 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -4.49 | 54.6 | 52.9 |
Ashanti Fox
|
G | 3 | 33.3 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 4.7 | 8 | 3 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 36.4 | 40.0 | 85.7 | 0.26 | 47.1 | 42.4 |
Tyana Walker
|
G | 3 | 32.3 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 88.9 | 0.0 | 51.9 | 43.8 |
Macayla Askew
|
F | 3 | 15.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 29 | 3 | 9.7 | 25.9 | 53.3 | 37.5 | 0 | 2.26 | 63.3 | 63.3 |
Kamryn Doty
|
G | 2 | 27.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | -20 | 2 | -10.0 | -14.8 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -1.88 | 38.7 | 27.8 |
Samira Khalil
|
G | 3 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 22.6 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.2 | 65.4 | 58.3 |
Kierra Morrow
|
G | 3 | 22.7 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 6.7 | 23 | 3 | 7.7 | 14.1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.34 | 21.3 | 20.0 |
Sidney Smith
|
G | 3 | 15.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -0.7 | 16 | 3 | 5.3 | 13.3 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.19 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Skylar Bolden
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Norah Fuld
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Savannah Whitley
|
F | 3 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14 | 3 | 4.7 | 32.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 |
Jayda Angel
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Ashlee Shaw
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
185 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
LaNae' CorbettTamia WatkinsAshanti FoxTyana WalkerMacayla AskewKamryn Doty
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 43-76 | 56.6 | 86 | LaNae' Corbett 35% (30 pts) | Tamia Watkins 30% (26 pts) | LaNae' Corbett 36% (12 misses) | Ashanti Fox 15% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 16-30 | 53.3 | 32 | LaNae' Corbett 38% (12 pts) | Tamia Watkins 31% (10 pts) | Tamia Watkins 36% (5 misses) | LaNae' Corbett 29% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-17 | 5.9 | 2 | Ashanti Fox 100% (2 pts) | - | Ashanti Fox 44% (7 misses) | LaNae' Corbett 25% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 4-6 | 66.7 | 8 | LaNae' Corbett 50% (4 pts) | Samira Khalil 25% (2 pts) | Kamryn Doty 50% (1 misses) | Macayla Askew 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-8 | 37.5 | 6 | LaNae' Corbett 67% (4 pts) | Kamryn Doty 33% (2 pts) | LaNae' Corbett 40% (2 misses) | Kamryn Doty 20% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Ashanti Fox 20% (1 misses) | Kierra Morrow 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-4 | 50.0 | 6 | Macayla Askew 50% (3 pts) | Sidney Smith 50% (3 pts) | Macayla Askew 50% (1 misses) | Tyana Walker 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-15 | 33.3 | 15 | Tyana Walker 40% (6 pts) | Ashanti Fox 20% (3 pts) | Ashanti Fox 20% (2 misses) | Sidney Smith 20% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-6 | 33.3 | 6 | Macayla Askew 50% (3 pts) | Tyana Walker 50% (3 pts) | LaNae' Corbett 25% (1 misses) | Samira Khalil 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-18 | 22.2 | 12 | Ashanti Fox 75% (9 pts) | Kamryn Doty 25% (3 pts) | Tyana Walker 29% (4 misses) | Ashanti Fox 21% (3 misses) |