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2024-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Kentucky Colonels Ball State Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 59.1% 40.9% -2.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% -
Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.6% 34.4% -
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% -
Points Off/Def 51.7% 48.3% -

Actual: Ball State Cardinals +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Blanton * 37 10-23 1-1 2-4 11 3 1 0 2 23 13 -2.0
G. Kimble III * 30 2-12 2-8 5-6 6 4 6 0 5 11 10 -2.4
M. Wol * 29 1-7 1-4 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 5 4 -3.3
J. Crawford * 29 1-8 0-5 0-0 0 1 3 0 1 2 -3 -9.3
Y. Paul * 14 2-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 2 0 4 8 -3.1
M. Myrick 14 0-1 0-0 4-6 9 0 0 0 0 4 12 +0.7
J. Holt 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.9
C. Martynov 12 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 0 2 5 -2.1
T. Andrews 11 2-3 2-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 8 7 +2.9
T. Buttry 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 +2.9

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Brittain-Watts * 35 1-6 1-5 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 5 3 +4.3
M. Pearson Jr. * 32 5-11 1-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 11 5 +6.4
J. Gorosito * 31 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 0 3 1 2 9 8 +6.4
F. Hill * 30 6-9 0-1 6-9 7 4 0 2 5 18 17 -
P. Sparks * 28 5-8 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 0 3 12 7 +6.2
J. Hernandez 14 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -3.9
B. Hendriks 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -6.9
M. Jones 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +1.1
T. Burch 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 -1.0
J. Hart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

* = starter