Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Blanton * | 37 | 10-23 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | -2.0 |
| G. Kimble III * | 30 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | -2.4 |
| M. Wol * | 29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3.3 |
| J. Crawford * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -9.3 |
| Y. Paul * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -3.1 |
| M. Myrick | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | +0.7 |
| J. Holt | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
| C. Martynov | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.1 |
| T. Andrews | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +2.9 |
| T. Buttry | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.9 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Brittain-Watts * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +4.3 |
| M. Pearson Jr. * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +6.4 |
| J. Gorosito * | 31 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +6.4 |
| F. Hill * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +6.2 |
| J. Hernandez | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -3.9 |
| B. Hendriks | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.9 |
| M. Jones | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
| T. Burch | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1.0 |
| J. Hart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter