Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rishwain * | 36 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -4.8 |
| D. Thomas Jr. * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | -1 | -4.8 |
| J. Hill * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -7.7 |
| J. Cherry * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -12.6 |
| J. Bannarbie * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +2.4 |
| J. Bedford | 28 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | -0.3 |
| P. N'Diaye | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +2.9 |
| B. Hicks | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Barnhizer * | 39 | 7-17 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | +6.9 |
| N. Martinelli * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | +6.4 |
| M. Nicholson * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 18 | +12.6 |
| T. Berry * | 29 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +11.1 |
| J. Leach * | 21 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +6.8 |
| J. Mullins | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -4.1 |
| L. Hunger | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.9 |
| K.J. Windham | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.8 |
| A. Ciaravino | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.6 |
| B. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter