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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model UTSA Roadrunners East Carolina Pirates Spread Result
ELO 75.6% 24.4% -
Bradley-Terry 67.0% 33.0% -
Margin 71.0% 29.0% -4.9 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% -
KenPom Style 54.3% 45.7% -
Log Adjusted 54.2% 45.8% -
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% -

Actual: East Carolina Pirates -19 (48-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
N. De Leon Negron 31 4-6 3-4 1-2 4 3 2 12 11
M. Linton 30 2-5 -2 - 5 2 2 4 8
J. Jenkins 30 11-14 1-2 3-3 6 1 1 26 20
I. Udo 28 5-10 - 3-4 11 3 13 17
S. Love 22 2-8 -3 - 4 4 4 4 0
A. Proctor 15 -4 -2 - 3 2 1
C. Rowe 11 1-4 -1 - 2 1 1 3 2 -1
D. Allen 9 1-4 1-2 - 3 1 3 3
M. Hammonds 9 1-1 - - 2 1 2 2
T. Ross 7 -2 -1 - 1 1 -2
A. Parker 4 -1 - - -1
E. Dannebauer 4 - - 1-1 1 1 0

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
D. Hagemann 29 1-5 -3 - 1 2 2 0
A. Hutton 26 3-11 - - 4 1 6 -2
S. Johnson 26 2-8 1-3 1-2 2 1 6 1
J. Hearp 23 3-9 2-4 2-4 3 1 1 10 6
K. Miller 23 2-7 2-3 2-2 2 1 8 4
A. Joyner 22 4-6 - -2 5 2 1 4 8 6
Tal. Wyche 17 -1 - -2 3 3 1 6
Tat. Wyche 13 1-3 - - 1 2 2 2
T. Ware 7 -3 -1 - 1 -2
J. McDaniel 5 -1 -1 1-2 1 1 1 0
K. Jenkins 4 1-2 - - 1 2 1
M. Moseley 2 1-2 1-2 - 3 1
J. Tillman 2 - - - 2 2
B. Smith 1 - - - 1 1

* = starter