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2024-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% -
Log Adjusted 56.6% 43.4% -
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nunn * 35 6-13 4-7 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 16 7 +10.5
VJ Edgecombe * 35 3-12 1-7 4-6 8 5 1 1 1 11 13 +6.6
J. Roach * 30 5-10 1-4 2-4 1 2 0 0 2 13 4 -2.0
N. Omier * 29 7-10 0-1 1-2 12 1 0 0 0 15 18 +17.4
J. Ojianwuna * 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 4 -10.9
J. Celestine 31 1-6 1-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 3 5 +4.2
R. Wright III 17 3-4 0-0 4-5 1 2 0 0 2 10 7 +8.3
J. Asemota 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.0

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Fland * 39 5-13 3-5 4-4 5 7 1 0 0 17 17 -4.2
D.J. Wagner * 38 4-10 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 8 2 -0.1
A. Thiero * 31 10-15 2-4 2-4 6 2 1 2 2 24 18 -
J. Davis * 21 2-9 0-5 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 8 2 +1.5
Z. Ivisic * 17 0-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 1 2 5 -0.8
T. Brazile 22 2-3 0-1 0-1 3 1 1 1 1 4 6 -11.5
B. Richmond III 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 5 +0.6
J. Aidoo 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +5.7
K. Knox 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 1 -3.8

* = starter