Arkansas
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1420 (#21) | Preseason prior 1455 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1206, returning -76, transfers +28, freshmen +297 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1232 (#21) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1227 (#21) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +10.3 (#78) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +10.2 (#78) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.904 (#41) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.750 (#68) | AdjNet +7.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.756 (#69) | AdjNet +8.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.706 (#58) | AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.703 (#59) | AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.761 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.761 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1265 (#22) | RD 166 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.825 (#33) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | vs | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | W | 106 - 61 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Virginia Cavaliers | L | 72 - 91 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Robert Morris Colonials | W | 76 - 53 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Central Arkansas Bears | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Indiana Hoosiers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeremiah Wilkinson
|
G | 4 | 24.0 | 14.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 10.8 | 9.0 | 63 | 3 | 21.0 | 36.7 | 46.5 | 46.4 | 71.4 | 1.78 | 62.9 | 61.6 |
Billy Richmond III
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 9.8 | 14.0 | 28 | 3 | 9.3 | 13.9 | 61.5 | 42.9 | 71.4 | 1.46 | 66.5 | 65.4 |
Jordan Smith Jr.
|
G | 4 | 27.5 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 11 | 3 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 61.1 | -0.39 | 54.1 | 51.2 |
Davion Thompson
|
G | 4 | 23.0 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 9.8 | 24 | 3 | 8.0 | 15.4 | 50.0 | 36.4 | 62.5 | 0.39 | 59.3 | 57.7 |
Miikka Muurinen
|
F | 4 | 19.0 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 16 | 3 | 5.3 | 11.5 | 32.1 | 18.2 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 47.6 | 35.7 |
Cooper Bowser
|
F | 4 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 13.2 | 26 | 3 | 8.7 | 13.9 | 77.8 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.46 | 68.7 | 77.8 |
Abdou Toure
|
F | 4 | 14.5 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 5.5 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -2.5 | 57.1 | 28.6 | 85.7 | -0.54 | 66.4 | 61.9 |
JJ Andrews
|
F | 4 | 17.0 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 35 | 3 | 11.7 | 27.1 | 43.8 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.7 | 50.4 | 46.9 |
Amere Brown
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.09 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Ilia Frolov
|
F | 2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 8 | 2 | 4.0 | 67.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Maper Maker
|
F | 4 | 14.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 49 | 3 | 16.3 | 37.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.76 | 53.2 | 33.3 |
Caleb Ourigou
|
F | 3 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.72 | 54.3 | 0.0 |
Ayden Kelley
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Isaiah Sealy
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Paulo Semedo
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Arkansas players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Arkansas game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 2025-26 | NBA | Sacramento Kings | 12 | 37.2 | 25.4 | 3.8 | 7.2 | 11-13 17 pts, 4 reb, 6 ast | 12 GP, 25.4 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 7.2 APG |
| Anthony Black | 2022-23 | NBA | Orlando Magic | 9 | 32.1 | 16.3 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 11-13 5 pts, 2 reb, 5 ast | 9 GP, 16.3 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 5.4 APG |
| Meleek Thomas | 2025-26 | NBA | Cleveland Cavaliers | 10 | 22.5 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 11-13 12 pts, 0 reb, 3 ast | 10 GP, 13.0 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 1.4 APG |
| Daniel Gafford | 2017-19 | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | 12 | 21.5 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 11-12 3 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast | 12 GP, 9.1 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 1.9 APG |
| Isaiah Joe | 2018-20 | NBA | Detroit Pistons | 3 | 13.9 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 10-25 2 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 3 GP, 7.3 PPG, 1.7 RPG, 1.0 APG |
| Bobby Portis | 2013-15 | NBA | Miami Heat | 12 | 19.9 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 11-13 5 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast | 12 GP, 6.7 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 1.8 APG |
| Jordan Walsh | 2022-23 | NBA | Boston Celtics | 12 | 16.1 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 11-11 6 pts, 3 reb, 0 ast | 12 GP, 4.5 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 0.7 APG |
| Jaylin Williams | 2020-22 | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | 7 | 18.5 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 11-02 3 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast | 7 GP, 2.9 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 1.6 APG |
| Adou Thiero | 2024-25 | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers | 4 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 11-11 2 pts, 2 reb, 1 ast | 4 GP, 2.5 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 1.0 APG |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 2022-23 | EuroLeague | Real Madrid | 8 | 13.3 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 11-12 13 pts, 3 reb, 4 ast | 3 GP, 6.0 PPG, 1.7 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Stanley Umude | 2021-22 | EuroLeague | FC Barcelona | 11 | 15.4 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 11-13 9 pts, 5 reb, 1 ast | 6 GP, 4.8 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 0.7 APG |
| Nick Weiler-Babb | 2014-15 | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 11 | 19.6 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 11-12 2 pts, 2 reb, 3 ast | 6 GP, 3.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 3.7 APG |
| Au'Diese Toney | 2021-22 | G League | Osceola Magic | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-12 18 pts, 5 reb, 1 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 12.0 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 0.3 APG |
| Jaxson Robinson | 2021-22 | G League | Cleveland Charge | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-10 18 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast Play-In | 1 GP, 18.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Johnell Davis | 2024-25 | G League | Osceola Magic | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-12 9 pts, 6 reb, 1 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 8.7 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 2.7 APG |
| Jonas Aidoo | 2024-25 | G League | Salt Lake City Stars | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-11 19 pts, 9 reb, 0 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 15.7 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 0.3 APG |
| Ricky Council IV | 2022-23 | G League | Osceola Magic | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-12 11 pts, 3 reb, 6 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 12.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 2.7 APG |
| Justin Smith | 2020-21 | EuroCup | Buducnost VOLI Podgorica | 7 | 23.5 | 10.4 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 11-10 9 pts, 9 reb, 0 ast | 4 GP, 11.5 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 1.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Stanley Umude | EuroLeague | FC Barcelona | @ Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens | 26 | 9 | 5 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Meleek Thomas | NBA | Cleveland Cavaliers | @ Miami Heat | 18 | 12 | 0 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Darius Acuff Jr. | NBA | Sacramento Kings | vs Portland Trail Blazers | 35 | 17 | 4 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Bobby Portis | NBA | Miami Heat | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Anthony Black | NBA | Orlando Magic | vs Milwaukee Bucks | 37 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Ricky Council IV | G League Play-In | Osceola Magic | vs Mexico City Capitanes | 32 | 11 | 3 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Nick Weiler-Babb | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | @ Real Madrid | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Nick Smith Jr. | EuroLeague | Real Madrid | vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 17 | 13 | 3 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Johnell Davis | G League Play-In | Osceola Magic | vs Mexico City Capitanes | 27 | 9 | 6 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Daniel Gafford | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | @ Minnesota Timberwolves | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Au'Diese Toney | G League Play-In | Osceola Magic | vs Mexico City Capitanes | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Meleek Thomas | NBA | Cleveland Cavaliers | @ New York Knicks | 22 | 14 | 4 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Jordan Walsh | NBA | Boston Celtics | @ Toronto Raptors | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Jonas Aidoo | G League Play-In | Salt Lake City Stars | vs Rip City Remix | 30 | 19 | 9 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Anthony Black | NBA | Orlando Magic | @ Utah Jazz | 38 | 22 | 7 | 8 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Adou Thiero | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers | @ Milwaukee Bucks | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Ricky Council IV | G League Play-In | Osceola Magic | @ Memphis Hustle | 36 | 24 | 12 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Justin Smith | EuroCup | Buducnost VOLI Podgorica | @ Cosea JL Bourg-en-Bresse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Jordan Walsh | NBA | Boston Celtics | @ Philadelphia 76ers | 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Jonas Aidoo | G League Play-In | Salt Lake City Stars | vs Rip City Remix | 37 | 18 | 9 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Johnell Davis | G League Play-In | Osceola Magic | @ Memphis Hustle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Jaxson Robinson | G League Play-In | Cleveland Charge | vs Motor City Cruise | 25 | 18 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Darius Acuff Jr. | NBA | Sacramento Kings | vs Orlando Magic | 40 | 29 | 4 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Bobby Portis | NBA | Miami Heat | @ Utah Jazz | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Au'Diese Toney | G League Play-In | Osceola Magic | @ Memphis Hustle | 25 | 4 | 5 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
241 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jeremiah WilkinsonBilly Richmond IIIJordan Smith Jr.Davion ThompsonAbdou ToureMiikka MuurinenJJ Andrews
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 57-76 | 75.0 | 114 | Billy Richmond III 26% (30 pts) | Jordan Smith Jr. 23% (26 pts) | Billy Richmond III 21% (4 misses) | Jordan Smith Jr. 21% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 30-60 | 50.0 | 60 | Jordan Smith Jr. 23% (14 pts) | Davion Thompson 20% (12 pts) | Jordan Smith Jr. 23% (7 misses) | Billy Richmond III 17% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-11 | 18.2 | 4 | Abdou Toure 100% (4 pts) | - | Jeremiah Wilkinson 33% (3 misses) | JJ Andrews 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-8 | 37.5 | 6 | Abdou Toure 67% (4 pts) | Billy Richmond III 33% (2 pts) | Jordan Smith Jr. 40% (2 misses) | Abdou Toure 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-11 | 27.3 | 6 | JJ Andrews 33% (2 pts) | Jeremiah Wilkinson 33% (2 pts) | Jordan Smith Jr. 38% (3 misses) | Billy Richmond III 25% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Abdou Toure 67% (6 pts) | Billy Richmond III 33% (3 pts) | Abdou Toure 43% (3 misses) | Billy Richmond III 14% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Davion Thompson 67% (6 pts) | Billy Richmond III 33% (3 pts) | Jeremiah Wilkinson 40% (2 misses) | Abdou Toure 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-19 | 31.6 | 18 | Jeremiah Wilkinson 67% (12 pts) | Billy Richmond III 17% (3 pts) | Jeremiah Wilkinson 38% (5 misses) | Davion Thompson 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-13 | 30.8 | 12 | Jeremiah Wilkinson 50% (6 pts) | Jordan Smith Jr. 25% (3 pts) | Davion Thompson 33% (3 misses) | Jeremiah Wilkinson 33% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 11-25 | 44.0 | 33 | Jeremiah Wilkinson 64% (21 pts) | Davion Thompson 9% (3 pts) | Miikka Muurinen 43% (6 misses) | Jeremiah Wilkinson 29% (4 misses) |