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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Utah Valley Wolverines Jacksonville State Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% -
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% -
Log Adjusted 47.6% 52.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Valley Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Toolson 31 6-11 1-6 6-9 8 2 0 0 1 19 17 -6.2
D. Nelson 30 6-12 2-5 6-9 3 1 0 0 3 20 9 -6.7
T. Leonhardt 29 1-7 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -9.8
H. Welling 23 4-10 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 2 -0.5
O. Grady 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -4.3
C. Welling 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 4 4 0 5 -8.6
J. Holcombe 18 3-5 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 2 0 6 8 -10.1
N. Taitz 14 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 1 0 5 8 +5.4
K. Green 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 +5.0
C. Wells 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +1.9
M. Sullivan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.0

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pierre Jr. 39 9-22 3-6 5-6 8 4 1 0 1 26 16 +7.7
J. Franklin 28 3-5 2-4 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 9 7 +9.6
K. Cotton 26 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 4 +14.3
M. Nicholson 24 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 1 1 4 10 -1.5
M. Brigham Jr. 22 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -0.6
M. Houge 20 2-7 1-2 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 5 6 +8.0
J. Ituka 19 2-3 2-3 4-4 0 0 0 0 2 10 5 -1.4
I. Niagu 13 2-5 0-0 0-2 6 1 1 0 0 4 7 +6.2
Q. House 9 0-1 0-0 4-4 0 1 1 0 2 4 3 -3.1

* = starter