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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Florida Atlantic Owls Charlotte 49ers Spread Result
Elo 62.0% 38.0% -
Bradley-Terry 73.3% 26.7% -
Margin 74.9% 25.1% -6.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -
Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% -
Log Adjusted 82.4% 17.6% -
Points Off/Def 62.6% 37.4% -

Actual: Charlotte 49ers -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Atlantic Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller 34 8-11 2-2 2-2 7 1 0 2 3 20 16 +10.7
T. Carroll 32 7-11 0-1 1-3 9 3 2 3 0 15 21 +4.7
L. Walker 30 4-11 1-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 9 2 +9.1
N. Moretti 24 5-7 2-3 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 14 10 +2.2
K. Tandy 24 2-7 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 2 +10.0
K. Evans Jr. 22 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 4 5 -5.7
K. Glenn 21 0-4 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 1 0 +0.6
M. Vokietaitis 11 2-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 1 7 9 +0.7
D. Vanterpool 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Thomas 30 5-7 2-2 2-4 6 2 1 1 3 14 14 -2.8
N. Graves 27 2-8 0-2 1-4 5 3 1 0 4 5 2 -11.9
K. Blackmon 26 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 7 4 -2.0
D. Reiber 21 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 1 3 4 2 -6.8
G. Rosado 21 5-9 1-1 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 14 10 +0.6
R. Braswell IV 19 1-6 1-3 2-2 1 0 2 1 1 5 2 -3.4
N. Metskhvarishvili 17 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 5 5 +6.7
R. Rolf 16 2-8 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 1 -11.5
B. Bradford 12 2-5 0-2 0-1 2 1 0 1 0 4 3 +5.5
I. Folkes 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 3 -3.9
A. Szymczyk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter