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2025-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
ELO 17.1% 82.9% -
Bradley-Terry 24.9% 75.1% -
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.6 (22.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% -
KenPom Style 46.3% 53.7% -
Log Adjusted 46.4% 53.6% -
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -8 (62-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
J. Williams 37 5-9 - 3-5 4 3 2 5 13 8
T. Roberts 37 2-6 1-2 6-6 3 1 2 11 7
J. Curry 37 6-14 3-7 9-9 2 3 5 2 24 18
O. Cochran 21 3-6 - 2-3 2 1 3 8 2
N. Harris 21 1-5 - 2-2 1 1 1 3 4 -1
M. Randolph 20 1-3 1-1 - 2 1 3 1
E. Istanbulluoglu 12 2-4 1-1 - 2 1 1 5 3
I. Berry 8 -1 -1 - 3 1 1 4
M. Russell 7 1-1 - - 4 2 5
E. Imafidon 0 - - - 0

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
J. Donovan 31 4-8 - - 7 3 3 2 8 11
O. Okananwa 29 7-13 1-5 2-2 2 1 1 2 17 6
R. Richardson 28 5-9 -1 - 4 3 1 3 10 6
T. Mair 27 4-6 -2 - 3 4 2 6 8 5
A. Jackson 26 2-7 1-5 - 2 1 3 5 -2
D. Thomas 21 3-6 - 2-2 7 1 2 8 8
T. Fournier 20 3-7 - - 2 1 6 0
E. Koabel 8 - - - 0
V. de Jesus 8 - - - 1 1 2
J. Wood 2 - - - 1 -1

* = starter