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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Fordham Rams VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 3.6% 96.4% -
Bradley-Terry 12.4% 87.6% -
Margin 2.2% 97.8% +20.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 23.2% 76.8% -
Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 12.8% 87.2% -

Actual: VCU Rams +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fordham Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Medor 36 5-12 3-6 6-7 6 4 1 0 1 19 17 -2.5
J. Johnson III 31 3-13 2-5 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 8 1 -6.9
R. Dean 29 1-3 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -6.9
Z. Riley 24 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 3 1 1 2 1 -17.1
J. Rivera 23 2-7 0-0 4-4 2 3 2 1 3 8 6 +8.3
A. Tsimbila 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 1 -2.7
J. Tripp 20 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 6 6 +4.8
M. Zona 16 5-7 2-4 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 14 11 +2.2
R. Pettis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shulga 34 5-12 1-3 5-6 6 4 1 0 2 16 13 +8.4
P. Russell 29 1-12 1-6 2-2 3 5 1 0 1 5 1 +14.6
J. Bamisile 28 7-11 2-4 2-4 8 1 2 0 4 18 14 +6.6
J. Clark 25 2-3 0-1 1-3 11 0 1 0 0 5 14 +0.5
Z. Jackson 23 3-11 0-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 8 1 -2.1
L. Bamgboye 18 4-5 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 3 3 8 11 +12.3
C. Fermin 18 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 2 1 3 9 -
A. Billups III 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -3.6
M. Belle 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +2.5
B. Jennings 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -5.4
T. Hill Jr. 3 1-3 0-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -0.5

* = starter