Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +19 (65-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Walker | 31 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -17.0 |
| B. Peebles | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -17.3 |
| S. Orme | 28 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | -8.5 |
| D. Scharnowski | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -1.7 |
| J. Pierre | 24 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -12.3 |
| T. Lundblade | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -4.1 |
| C. Whitt | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -4 | -12.4 |
| B. Rogers | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -6.5 |
| K. Robbins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Dykstra | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
| W. Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Jackson | 40 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | +18.2 |
| M. Mascari | 39 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +20.0 |
| B. Stirtz | 39 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | +17.0 |
| D. Abreu | 39 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +19.3 |
| T. Banks | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +17.0 |
| N. Ferguson | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Manyawu | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| I. Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| K. Combs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter