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2025-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 67.6% 32.4% -
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% -
Margin 69.3% 30.7% -4.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% -
Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.4% 24.6% -
Log Adjusted 75.7% 24.3% -
Points Off/Def 58.5% 41.5% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Falslev 35 3-8 1-4 1-4 8 3 0 0 4 8 7 -7.1
I. Martinez 33 5-11 2-7 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 15 6 +7.2
T. Anderson 27 6-12 4-8 3-6 5 2 0 0 0 19 14 -1.1
D. Allen 26 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 5 2 -1.2
K. Templin 25 3-8 1-2 1-1 10 4 0 0 3 8 11 -1.0
D. Akanno 24 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -0.9
D. Albury 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0
A. Gateretse 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 4 +2.7
J. Barnes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.8

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas Jr. 38 4-14 0-3 0-1 4 6 0 0 0 8 4 +2.8
J. Rishwain 35 4-11 4-10 1-2 2 2 2 0 0 13 8 +3.9
J. Hill 31 7-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 0 15 15 +0.9
B. Hicks 24 3-7 0-4 3-4 7 2 0 0 1 9 10 +8.6
J. Henley 22 1-6 0-3 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 6 2 -4.4
J. Cherry 19 2-4 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 3 1 4 8 +4.0
J. Bedford 17 3-7 2-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 10 7 +4.3
J. Bannarbie 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 0 4 +1.8
P. N'Diaye 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.7

* = starter