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2024-11-23

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico State Aggies UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% -
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 22.2% 77.8% +6.9 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% -
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Carpenter * 30 3-13 0-4 4-4 13 0 1 2 1 10 12 -2.3
C. Cook * 27 4-14 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 10 -3 -
Z. Jackson * 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -2 +4.9
C. Cherenfant * 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 2 4 +0.4
E. Tshimanga * 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -3.5
D. Bostick 23 3-5 2-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -2.9
P. Filipovity 18 4-12 2-6 2-4 11 0 0 0 1 12 10 -5.0
G. Pickens 18 3-7 2-2 6-10 2 2 0 0 1 14 10 -8.9
E. Nnamoko 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 +10.4
J. Harris 12 0-3 0-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 2 4 -0.9
N. Tshimanga 9 1-3 0-0 0-3 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -6.1

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas Jr. * 39 4-15 1-3 13-19 5 4 0 0 1 22 15 +5.1
J. Rishwain * 36 4-7 3-6 1-2 5 0 2 0 0 12 12 +3.2
J. Hill * 34 4-10 0-2 8-10 9 3 0 0 1 16 17 +4.2
J. Cherry * 30 3-6 0-0 4-5 8 1 0 5 1 10 17 +12.5
J. Bedford * 23 2-6 2-4 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 7 3 +1.9
B. Hicks 19 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 0 0 +5.6
J. Bannarbie 11 1-2 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 5 9 -8.1
P. N'Diaye 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -1.0
I. Cottrell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter