Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls +22 (85-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Bell | 29 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -22.4 |
| J. Spence | 27 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -18.8 |
| R. McCray V | 27 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | -15.4 |
| S. Payne III | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -26.3 |
| E. Borio | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -4.2 |
| C. Arias | 19 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | -8.1 |
| K. Munson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -17.9 |
| K. Jackson | 12 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Z. Nwokeji | 10 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +8.9 |
| D. Rivers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| T. Deng | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.2 |
| M. Fuentes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Walker | 27 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +22.4 |
| K. Evans Jr. | 27 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +27.6 |
| N. Moretti | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -0.5 |
| M. Vokietaitis | 24 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | +29.3 |
| B. Miller | 24 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | +20.3 |
| K. Tandy | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.2 |
| K. Glenn | 22 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +19.5 |
| T. Carroll | 18 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | -7.8 |
| D. Vanterpool | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.1 |
| J. Johnson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter