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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 81.4% 18.6% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Efficiency 59.0% 41.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% -
Log Adjusted 61.2% 38.8% -
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Kehoe 36 9-11 0-0 0-3 14 1 2 2 2 18 24 -12.5
D. Draper 35 4-8 2-4 2-2 9 4 2 1 0 12 20 +1.7
A. Benigni 32 4-14 1-6 0-2 3 6 3 0 3 9 4 -8.3
J. Kim 29 1-8 0-3 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -5 +4.7
L. Rehnstrom 20 2-8 2-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -4.7
J. Pennick 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 3 0 -4 -8.5
C. Cole 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -20.4
C. Johnson 12 4-7 2-4 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 10 5 -3.5
M. Fischer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +1.0
M. Woods 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.1
J. Medalie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -8.1

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams 36 4-9 1-2 0-0 4 4 5 1 6 9 8 +8.3
M. Green 35 2-7 1-3 2-2 6 6 0 2 5 7 9 +12.4
J. Nugent 34 8-13 5-8 0-0 9 0 0 0 0 21 17 +11.1
C. Kenney 34 9-12 0-0 0-1 8 4 1 1 0 18 20 +10.9
J. Feroah 32 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 5 8 +10.2
K. Singleton 21 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 2 +6.5
J. Kirkwood 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 5 2 +1.3

* = starter