Holy Cross
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
64.0
PPG
92.7
Opp
-28.7
Margin
36.7%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
62.3%
FT%
33.3
RPG
13.3
APG
13.3
TO
71.6
Est. poss./game
67.7
Adj PPG
82.6
Adj Opp PPG
#361
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 672 (#349) | Preseason prior 699 (returning production + recruiting): last season 799, returning -26, transfers -74, freshmen -0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 824 (#352) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 828 (#352) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.3 (#328) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.2 (#328) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.070 (#353) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.198 (#349) | AdjNet -20.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.199 (#346) | AdjNet -19.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.222 (#361) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 82.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.224 (#361) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 82.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.196 (#355) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.197 (#355) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 788 (#352) | RD 183 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.219 (#348) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Rhode Island Rams | L | 59 - 103 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Villanova Wildcats | L | 66 - 95 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Furman Paladins | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | UAlbany Great Danes | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Brown Bears | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Harvard Crimson | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tristen Wilson
|
G | 3 | 28.0 | 15.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 14.7 | - | - | - | - | 55.6 | 33.3 | 60.0 | - | 60.5 | 57.4 |
Arius Alijosius
|
G | 3 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.0 | 7.3 | - | - | - | - | 44.4 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 68.3 | 66.7 |
Chuck Hare
|
F | 3 | 21.7 | 8.0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 7.7 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 57.1 | - | 52.0 | 50.0 |
Jaelon Germany
|
G | 3 | 21.7 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 38.9 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 48.8 | 41.7 |
Kole Hanson
|
G | 3 | 23.7 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 8.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 30.8 | 38.5 | 0.0 | - | 39.7 | 40.4 |
John St. Germain III
|
G | 3 | 17.7 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -0.7 | - | - | - | - | 27.8 | 33.3 | 60.0 | - | 39.6 | 36.1 |
Jude Haigh
|
F | 3 | 17.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 30.8 | 36.4 | 0 | - | 46.2 | 46.2 |
Elijah Flowers
|
F | 3 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 30.8 | 14.3 | 50.0 | - | 37.3 | 34.6 |
Bradyn Foster
|
F | 2 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 33.8 | 25.0 |
Aidan Richard
|
F | 3 | 30.7 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 7.1 | 16.7 | 75.0 | - | 19.0 | 10.7 |
Liam Rigney
|
F | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 41.0 | 50.0 |
Ethan Clark
|
F | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Austin Mejia
|
G | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Kosi Mgbejiofor
|
C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Joe Nugent
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Declan Ryan
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
177 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Tristen WilsonArius AlijosiusKole HansonChuck HareJaelon GermanyJohn St. Germain IIIJude HaighAidan Richard
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 14-25 | 56.0 | 28 | Tristen Wilson 36% (10 pts) | Chuck Hare 21% (6 pts) | John St. Germain III 27% (3 misses) | Elijah Flowers 18% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 21-59 | 35.6 | 42 | Tristen Wilson 33% (14 pts) | Chuck Hare 24% (10 pts) | Tristen Wilson 21% (8 misses) | Aidan Richard 16% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-5 | 60.0 | 6 | Chuck Hare 33% (2 pts) | Jaelon Germany 33% (2 pts) | Arius Alijosius 50% (1 misses) | Tristen Wilson 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Kole Hanson 67% (2 misses) | Aidan Richard 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-12 | 25.0 | 6 | Chuck Hare 33% (2 pts) | Jaelon Germany 33% (2 pts) | Jaelon Germany 33% (3 misses) | Kole Hanson 22% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Jaelon Germany 33% (3 pts) | John St. Germain III 33% (3 pts) | Kole Hanson 40% (2 misses) | Arius Alijosius 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 6-15 | 40.0 | 18 | Arius Alijosius 50% (9 pts) | Aidan Richard 17% (3 pts) | Jude Haigh 33% (3 misses) | Elijah Flowers 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-19 | 26.3 | 15 | Arius Alijosius 40% (6 pts) | Kole Hanson 40% (6 pts) | Kole Hanson 29% (4 misses) | Arius Alijosius 21% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-13 | 23.1 | 9 | Arius Alijosius 33% (3 pts) | Elijah Flowers 33% (3 pts) | Aidan Richard 30% (3 misses) | Arius Alijosius 10% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-18 | 38.9 | 21 | Arius Alijosius 29% (6 pts) | Jude Haigh 29% (6 pts) | Arius Alijosius 18% (2 misses) | John St. Germain III 18% (2 misses) |