Navy
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
72.0
PPG
68.2
Opp
+3.8
Margin
39.3%
FG%
35.0%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
39.8
RPG
13.5
APG
15.0
TO
70.0
Est. poss./game
62.6
Adj PPG
72.1
Adj Opp PPG
#295
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 918 (#183) | Preseason prior 897 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1043, returning -14, transfers -74, freshmen -58 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 971 (#176) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 972 (#177) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.9 (#269) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.8 (#266) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.227 (#277) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.351 (#256) | AdjNet -9.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.320 (#282) | AdjNet -12.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.344 (#295) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.346 (#293) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#239) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#239) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 983 (#161) | RD 178 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.385 (#222) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | George Washington Revolutionaries | L | 39 - 91 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Delaware State Hornets | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Central Penn Knights | W | 102 - 46 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Pennsylvania Quakers | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Hampton Pirates | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Georgetown Hoyas | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jordan Pennick
|
G | 3 | 30.0 | 22.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 13.7 | 13.0 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -1.1 | 43.9 | 42.9 | 69.7 | -0.35 | 61.2 | 54.9 |
David Burnett
|
G | 4 | 27.5 | 11.5 | 9.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 13.2 | -13 | 3 | -4.3 | -5.5 | 48.5 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0.07 | 55.0 | 54.5 |
Jinwoo Kim
|
G | 4 | 30.0 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 4.2 | -40 | 3 | -13.3 | -16.2 | 20.6 | 23.5 | 100.0 | -1.57 | 39.0 | 26.5 |
Cam Cole
|
G | 4 | 27.5 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.8 | 4.0 | -21 | 3 | -7.0 | -8.7 | 37.0 | 35.7 | 66.7 | 1.14 | 48.9 | 46.3 |
Sean Griffin
|
F | 4 | 13.5 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 3.8 | -41 | 3 | -13.7 | -40.7 | 38.5 | 37.5 | 50.0 | -1.53 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
Jerry Ashley Jr.
|
F | 4 | 23.5 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.5 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 55.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.61 | 55.2 | 55.0 |
Justin Nordin
|
G | 4 | 13.8 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 1 | 3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 50.0 | 38.5 | 100.0 | 0.11 | 66.2 | 63.9 |
Julian Gabbidon
|
G | 2 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -10 | 1 | -10.0 | -66.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.76 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
JP Baldwin
|
F | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Cooper Jackson
|
F | 2 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -18.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.79 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
Charlie Crane
|
C | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Wayne Fletcher II
|
G | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Sam Pitrof
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 43.1 | 0.0 |
Matt Gaffney
|
G | 2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.64 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Drew Timmons
|
F | 4 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -53.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.79 | 26.5 | 20.0 |
Akim Iscandari
|
G | 4 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -39.3 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.54 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
Luke Mayberry
|
G | 4 | 13.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | -38 | 3 | -12.7 | -41.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.45 | 31.5 | 0.0 |
Owen Gray
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Nyles Howard
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Colin Pollock
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Tobi Raji
|
F | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
RJ Roche
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Marlon Williams
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Dylan Gassaway
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Bryce Reynierson
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
234 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jordan PennickDavid BurnettCam ColeJustin NordinJerry Ashley Jr.Jinwoo Kim
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 32-55 | 58.2 | 64 | David Burnett 25% (16 pts) | Jerry Ashley Jr. 16% (10 pts) | David Burnett 43% (10 misses) | Jinwoo Kim 17% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 18-56 | 32.1 | 36 | Jerry Ashley Jr. 33% (12 pts) | David Burnett 22% (8 pts) | Jerry Ashley Jr. 18% (7 misses) | Jinwoo Kim 16% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-6 | 50.0 | 6 | Justin Nordin 33% (2 pts) | Sean Griffin 33% (2 pts) | Jinwoo Kim 67% (2 misses) | Drew Timmons 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-6 | 16.7 | 2 | Jordan Pennick 100% (2 pts) | - | Cam Cole 40% (2 misses) | Jerry Ashley Jr. 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-8 | 25.0 | 4 | Jinwoo Kim 50% (2 pts) | Jordan Pennick 50% (2 pts) | Jinwoo Kim 33% (2 misses) | Jordan Pennick 33% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-14 | 7.1 | 3 | Justin Nordin 100% (3 pts) | - | Jinwoo Kim 46% (6 misses) | Sean Griffin 23% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 8-21 | 38.1 | 24 | Jordan Pennick 50% (12 pts) | JP Baldwin 12% (3 pts) | Jordan Pennick 46% (6 misses) | Justin Nordin 23% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 4-19 | 21.1 | 12 | Cam Cole 50% (6 pts) | Jordan Pennick 25% (3 pts) | Cam Cole 20% (3 misses) | Jinwoo Kim 20% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 15-28 | 53.6 | 45 | David Burnett 27% (12 pts) | Sean Griffin 20% (9 pts) | Cam Cole 15% (2 misses) | Drew Timmons 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-21 | 38.1 | 24 | Jinwoo Kim 25% (6 pts) | Jordan Pennick 25% (6 pts) | Jordan Pennick 23% (3 misses) | Sean Griffin 23% (3 misses) |