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2024-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 4.5% 95.5% +16.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Log Adjusted 2.2% 97.8% -
Points Off/Def 17.9% 82.1% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +15 (65-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Hurley 34 8-13 5-8 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 21 13 -6.9
S. Bogues 33 6-12 0-2 0-2 4 1 1 0 2 12 4 -12.8
I. Ayo-Faleye 30 1-13 1-8 4-4 4 1 0 3 1 7 1 -14.3
J. Roquemore 29 0-6 0-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -4 -11.8
S. Blake 22 2-5 0-1 1-3 7 4 0 1 3 5 9 -8.9
N. Barnett 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 5 -3.3
S. Joba 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -0.8
S. Odom 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 +4.1
S. Alamutu 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1.7
G. Perryman 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -5.7

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mbeng 35 4-11 2-5 1-1 9 6 3 0 6 11 12 +17.0
C. Simmons 32 7-10 1-1 3-4 8 2 3 1 1 18 21 +16.1
N. Townsend 31 4-10 2-4 3-4 6 4 0 0 1 13 12 +10.1
I. Celiscar 24 4-7 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 9 9 +18.3
T. Mullin 21 2-3 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 7 3 +9.8
J. Brathwaite 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 +6.4
S. Aletan 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -2.1
J. Molloy 12 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 6 -0.5
D. Arlington 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.1
R. Fox 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4.3

* = starter