Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Goode | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +13.9 |
| M. Rice | 36 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +12.8 |
| M. Reneau | 29 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +7.5 |
| A. Leal | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +13.5 |
| O. Ballo | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | +15.2 |
| T. Galloway | 24 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +1.5 |
| M. Mgbako | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| B. Tucker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.6 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Akins | 35 | 6-15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | -2.3 |
| J. Richardson | 33 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -5.6 |
| F. Fidler | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -2.4 |
| T. Holloman | 22 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| J. Fears Jr. | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -9.5 |
| J. Kohler | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -6.6 |
| C. Cooper | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +3.9 |
| S. Zapala | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -18.2 |
| C. Carr | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.3 |
| X. Booker | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -10.6 |
| K. Teng | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
* = starter