Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.7% | 15.3% | -9.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holloman | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +5.4 |
| C. Carr | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | +1.4 |
| J. Akins | 25 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +1.0 |
| J. Richardson | 25 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +0.9 |
| J. Fears Jr. | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -5.5 |
| X. Booker | 18 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +10.7 |
| C. Cooper | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +6.8 |
| S. Zapala | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +6.2 |
| F. Fidler | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +6.6 |
| J. Kohler | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7.6 |
| G. Normand | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| K. Teng | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bailey | 39 | 4-17 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | +4.0 |
| J. Derkack | 27 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | -0.3 |
| J. Williams | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -8.4 |
| L. Sommerville | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +8.2 |
| D. Grant | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| T. Acuff | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.1 |
| D. Harper | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -2.7 |
| J. Davis | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.7 |
| PJ Hayes IV | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Z. Martini | 10 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.0 |
| B. Dortch | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.7 |
* = starter