Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +21 (102-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Tabbs | 28 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -25.2 |
| W. Thomas | 26 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | -28.0 |
| R. Lawson | 24 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -15.0 |
| K. Hobbs | 23 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | -7.6 |
| A. Simpkins | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -14.1 |
| M. Harris | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -19.7 |
| D. Topps | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +5.7 |
| K. Oliver | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1.3 |
| D. Akitoby | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| T. Edwards | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +7.1 |
| M. Wade | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +2.1 |
| J. Martin | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.1 |
| P. Shirk | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Butler | 35 | 13-21 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 22 | +16.5 |
| B. Green | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +18.3 |
| M. Johnson | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +31.7 |
| J. Campbell | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | +22.5 |
| T. Thomas | 25 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | -3.8 |
| P. Squire | 24 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +3.9 |
| J. Felt | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +17.2 |
| W. Exacte | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.3 |
| J. Pardon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter