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2024-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Akron Zips Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% -
Log Adjusted 26.9% 73.1% -
Points Off/Def 35.8% 64.2% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +16 (74-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Johnson 33 0-8 0-4 4-6 3 4 2 0 2 4 3 -11.0
T. Johnson 28 9-17 4-6 1-1 1 1 0 0 3 23 5 -5.4
I. Gray 27 2-9 0-2 2-2 4 1 2 0 2 6 2 -18.2
B. Hardman 26 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 2 1 1 3 1 -4.1
S. Scott 24 3-8 2-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 10 4 -3.2
J. Okonkwo 19 0-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 1 0 0 4 +6.5
A. Lyles 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 3 6 -6.0
S. Young 12 2-5 1-3 3-3 1 0 1 0 2 8 3 -11.1
M. Musiime-Kamali 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -3.4
S. Wilson 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.7

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mbeng 36 4-8 2-4 1-4 6 3 0 0 4 11 8 +26.6
C. Simmons 35 7-10 1-2 2-2 13 0 2 3 3 17 22 +12.6
N. Townsend 31 7-14 0-2 4-5 11 3 0 0 2 18 16 +23.1
T. Mullin 25 2-5 1-3 6-6 2 2 2 0 4 11 8 +13.0
I. Celiscar 22 2-7 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 1 0 5 5 +7.1
S. Aletan 21 4-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 10 11 +5.7
J. Brathwaite 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -6.5
D. Arlington 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 -13.3
J. Molloy 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -7.2
R. Fox 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter