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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green UIC Flames Spread Result
Elo 50.8% 49.2% -
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% -
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% -

Actual: UIC Flames +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Myrthil 35 4-10 1-6 1-4 2 1 3 1 0 10 7 -1.1
R. Cornish 34 6-19 2-5 1-2 6 5 3 0 5 15 5 +3.0
J. Williams 32 5-11 1-4 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 11 5 +5.4
C. Haskins 29 2-7 1-5 1-1 7 1 1 1 1 6 8 -5.8
C. Amundsen 26 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 4 -1 -2.7
J. Munro 25 4-8 0-1 0-1 5 2 1 2 1 8 9 -6.2
B. Mitchell-Day 24 4-10 2-2 1-2 9 5 1 0 1 11 15 -7.4
C. Christensen 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 5 +4.8
B. Brown 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +5.0
C. McNamee 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3.2

UIC Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson 37 6-17 3-6 2-2 6 4 4 0 8 17 6 +2.1
J. Mason 37 7-19 3-7 0-1 7 3 3 0 1 17 10 +1.5
F. Skobalj 32 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 9 8 +4.7
A. Henderson II 29 3-9 1-6 2-2 3 1 1 0 4 9 1 +6.9
M. Kancleris 26 2-7 0-0 1-2 13 0 1 3 0 5 15 +5.4
T. Freeman 24 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 2 2 -6.4
S. Ciani 19 2-7 0-0 3-6 12 1 0 0 2 7 11 +6.6
E. Pickett 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 1 4 -4.9
K. Jeffries 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 -3.9

* = starter