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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Binghamton Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 39.6% 60.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Log Adjusted 54.9% 45.1% -
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: Binghamton Bearcats +5 (87-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Johnson 36 7-14 0-2 9-9 4 3 1 0 3 23 14 -3.7
A. Valentine 33 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 9 7 -2.9
M. Banks Jr. 33 7-13 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 17 6 -12.4
M. Short 28 6-11 0-1 1-3 2 1 1 1 0 13 7 +5.0
J. Odunowo 25 5-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 0 2 10 8 -12.3
R. Ciunys 16 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 3 8 +5.1
D. Sapp 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 +0.2
JC Harris 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 +5.9
D. Dickerson 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -2.8

Binghamton Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Walsh 37 5-12 2-2 6-6 17 0 1 0 0 18 24 +3.5
C. Walker 35 7-11 4-7 3-4 5 2 0 1 2 21 16 +2.5
W. Peterson Jr. 35 5-9 0-2 4-5 4 1 0 0 0 14 10 +11.1
T. Chenery 29 4-10 0-3 2-2 3 3 0 0 4 10 2 -1.2
E. Ashe 28 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 8 5 +6.7
N. Benson 20 7-8 0-0 0-2 1 2 1 0 1 14 9 -0.8
B. Callahan-Gold 16 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 2 2 0 -3.0

* = starter