Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pigge * | 35 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | -6.0 |
| T. Batties II * | 33 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 15 | -11.1 |
| R. Hinton * | 33 | 11-19 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | -5.0 |
| E. Nelson * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +14.0 |
| L. Ace-Nasteski * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -9.0 |
| A. Hunt | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -4.9 |
| T. Barbour | 19 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +6.1 |
| D. Dowdell | 17 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | -8.9 |
| X. Nesbitt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Byrne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Benigni * | 33 | 8-20 | 1-3 | 17-17 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 26 | +5.0 |
| A. Kehoe * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | +2.0 |
| J. Pennick * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4.9 |
| D. Draper * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | +6.0 |
| L. Rehnstrom * | 19 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | +3.9 |
| J. Kim | 21 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +7.0 |
| M. Woods | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +0.0 |
| S. Krist | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| M. Fischer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| C. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| C. Cole | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter